- AC Milan sit fourth in Serie A 2026/2027 after six rounds, with 12 points from 6 matches.
- Atalanta Bergamo are down in 11th, having won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5.
Rossoneri have the edge at San Siro
AC Milan are the outright favorites at 1.94 for Sunday's Serie A clash with Atalanta, and that's about right for a game in which the hosts have the upper hand. La Dea are 3.65 and the draw is 3.6, but Atalanta will be a tough nut to crack at the San Siro.
The Rossoneri responded with a solid performance in their 1-1 draw at Sassuolo last weekend, and that result follows up a fine 3-0 home win over Lecce in their previous Serie A 2026/2027 game. In their 5 games across all competitions, the Milan are 1-3-1, which is a solid return, but not exactly red hot.
That is because Ruben Amorim has installed a structured 3-at-the-back system at AC Milan, with wing-backs and vertical bursts turning pressure into chances. It can be a bit stop-start, but that should suit this game against an Atalanta side that are far more patient and build from the back.
La Dea’s style will be tested
Maurizio Sarri has brought his typical 4-3-3 system to Atalanta, with Atalanta looking to play a patient, possession-based game in which they look to work the ball through the thirds and arrive late in the box.
There's nothing wrong with that approach, and Atalanta are a dangerous team in this style, but La Dea's system will be seriously tested by Milan's high-press and their ability to pick up the ball in transition and get it forward quickly.
Atalanta have lost three on the trot, at AS Roma (2-1), at home to Cagliari (2-1) and at Juventus (2-0), so the momentum is not with the visitors at all.
Moreira’s Milan can make the difference
Ederson leads Atalanta's scoring charts for Serie A 2026/2027 with just 1 goal in 5 games, but they need some more of a bite around him. Gianluca Scamacca has provided 2 of their 4 goals in their last 5, and they need more than that to push up the table.
Diego Moreira has been a revelation for Milan, scoring 3 of their 5 Serie A 2026/2027 goals in 3 games, and he looks the most likely player to make the most of chances on Sunday. Atalanta will not get enough of the ball to win the game, and Milan are tipped to triumph.
There's a difference of style here which could open this match up if Atalanta can play through pressure, and both teams to score at 1.67 appeals, as does over 2.5 goals at 1.8. The Rossoneri have conceded 0.00 at home in Serie A 2026/2027.
Atalanta won 3-2 at AC Milan in Serie A 2025/2026, but are unbeaten in their last 3 visits to the San Siro, so back the hosts to win and the game to be end-to-end on Sunday.
