- Athletic Bilbao are 19th in LaLiga 2026/2027 with 0 points from 2 matches while Atletico Madrid are 6th with 4 points.
- Atletico Madrid have won four of the last five H2H matches in all competitions (Athletic Bilbao have won only one).
Back the draw at San Mames
Athletic Bilbao have had an awful start to the LaLiga 2026/2027 campaign, suffering a 1-3 defeat at home to Sevilla after a 2-0 away defeat to Barcelona in the opening fixture.
Atletico Madrid are doing a little better in the standings, sitting 6th with four points from their first two matches, which is not great, but a better start than the home side.
However, it is their recent performance that makes us lean towards the visitors in this encounter. Edin Terzic has started to mould Athletic into a possession-based team with a compact pressing trigger and fast transitions with players moving the ball vertically.
Oscar Fernandez's Atleti are back to the familiar grind, a team built to be very compact and spring out on the counter attack. This game could easily be cagey with Los Leones on the ball and Los Colchoneros hunting the break.
It is hard to go against Atletico in this one as they look the likelier winner, but the market seems to be underestimating the fact that this fixture often turns into a scrappy affair. Atletico nicked
it 3-2 at home in the last game of the 2025/2026 campaign, so this is not easy.
The head-to-head record is also interesting with Athletic averaging 0.5
goals in their last 5 games against Atletico at San Mames, who have
averaged the same amount away. Aitor Paredes is the top scorer for
Athletic Bilbao in LaLiga 2026/2027 with 1 goal in 2 games.
