- Atletico have won four of the last five meetings, Athletic Bilbao have only won one with zero draws.
- Atletico have a slightly better record in this fixture, winning four of the last five.
- Athletic Bilbao have a poor home record in this matchup, conceding 0.5 and scoring 0.5 in the last 5 at San Mames.
Los Leones are in a mess
Athletic Bilbao and Atletico Madrid have made different numbers of points in LaLiga 2026/2027, but that's because Athletic have failed to pick up a single point from two matches while Atletico Madrid have four points after two games.
Atletico Madrid's form is mixed but much sturdier than Athletic's record of one win and four defeats in the last five and they will look to make it five wins in the head-to-head record on Saturday. Los Colchoneros have won the other four of the sides' last five matches in all competitions and they nicked the most recent LaLiga 2025/2026 clash 3-2 at home, so this match has plenty of sting.
Los Leones are 19th with zero points after their opening two matches in LaLiga 2026/2027 while Atletico Madrid are 6th with four points after as many games.
Atleti have the edge in the final third
Athletic have started the campaign terribly, registering one win and suffering four defeats in their last five games and going into the weekend's game on the back of a four-match losing run.
Edin Terzic is trying to make his team a possession-heavy side, where compact pressing triggers are followed by fast vertical bursts and some of their recent results suggest they are at least heading in the right direction.
A 1-2 win away to Marseille, a 2-0 home win over Malaga and a 2-2 draw with Villarreal are results that suggest Atletico may have a chance against anyone. Athletic's other two results were a 1-0 away win over Atalanta and a 1-3 defeat at home to Sevilla, which does not bode well for Athletic.
Match may be close and cagey
Aitor Paredes is the top scorer for Los Leones in 2026/2027 with one goal while Yeray Alvarez has also controlled the match with one assist from his defensive position in two games.
Oscar Fernandez has got Atletico back into their usual groove, where the side are compact and transition-driven, able to frustrate opponents and hit on the break.
Alejandro Baena is the club's top scorer in 2026/2027 with just one goal in two league games, but he gives Simeone a little more of a bite in the forward line.
Atletico are the more likely winner but the odds suggest a close and frustrating affair, with both teams to score a shade of No at 53/50 and under 2.5 goals at 24/25.
