- Athletic Bilbao are in mixed form with two wins, one draw and two defeats in their last five matches.
- Sevilla are in better form with four wins in their last five.
- The reverse LaLiga 2025/2026 game saw Sevilla edge Athletic Bilbao 2-1 at home.
Sevilla’s counter play can keep this game live
Sevilla FC's last three games include away wins over NEC Nijmegen and FC Utrecht and a narrow 2-1 loss to Bayer Leverkusen, but they were solid before that, so we think Luis Garcia's side can return to winning ways against Athletic Bilbao on Saturday.
Los Nervionenses have six wins and four defeats in their last 10 across all competitions, a better win rate than Los Leones but less of a solid run. They have won four of their last five matches and will be looking to recover from their recent setbacks by taking three points from this contest.
Sevilla have conceded 11 goals in seven away fixtures across all competitions this season, so they have not been keeping it tight at the back on the road. They have won four and lost three of those seven away games, so they can travel well, but they leave the door open for opponents to exploit.
Athletic are set up to attack while Sevilla sit and soak up pressure
In contrast to Sevilla's compact, defensive approach, Edin Terzic's side are looking for the ball to make mistakes and are pressing all over the field in numbers as well as playing in a 4-2-3-1 that is fluid and fast on the vertical.
Miguel Angel Sierra has been their most threatening player this season, scoring two of their four goals in the last five games, so Sevilla are capable of producing a surprise here. Athletic Bilbao are also a bit open at home with three goals scored and conceded in their two home games in all competitions this term, so Sevilla's counters should be on the money on Saturday.
The hosts are the odds-on favourite for the game at 1.73, but Sevilla are not so far behind at 4.9 while the draw is set at 3.5. Backing the draw seems the smart play here as these two are very evenly matched and the reverse game of 2025/2026 saw Sevilla pip Athletic 2-1 at their place.
Hosts have the edge at San Mames
This is another close contest, but Athletic Bilbao are perhaps just a little more likely to grab the three points given they are at home and Sevilla have failed to win any of their last three away games against them.
Unders looks the cleanest way to play this match with the Under 2.5 goals market at 1.62 and Both teams to score looking a little shorter than seems sensible at 1.7. We're going for an Athletic Bilbao win in a low-scoring game, but Sevilla's ability to counter attack should keep this live for the full 90 minutes.
