- The main selection won in 3 of Salzburg's last 5 matches.
- Pafos conceded 9 goals in their last 5 away games in all competitions.
- The home side are a better quality side, but the visitors can make this a competitive European fixture if they can keep it tight and nick it in transitions.
Europa League qualification a real possibility for Pafos
Salzburg are the obvious pick to win the match at 1.73, but that's far too short for a side that have been inconsistent at best this season. Pafos are available at 4.86 and the draw at 3.88.
Salzburg have been in decent form in patches, but a return of four wins, one draw and five defeats across their last ten in all competitions is a poor return by their usual standards. Danny Roehl took over on the 1st July 2026 and brought back the vertical bite and intense counter-pressing that defined Salzburg for so long. Their most recent results are a 0-3 defeat at home to Gamba Osaka, a 1-2 defeat at home to Istanbul Basaksehir FK, and a 1-7 win away to Oberwart in the OFB Cup.
Ricardo Sa Pinto has had a better time of things since taking the helm on the 29th April 2026. His side have been more pragmatic and have built a solid, compact block and sharp transition style of play which has resulted in a slightly better form line of three wins, one draw and one defeat across their last five matches.
An interesting contrast of styles
The hosts should have the upper hand here and the odds reflect that, but we're taking them on in the draw no bet market due to Pafos' strong form and the fact that this is a new chapter in Europa League qualification and anything can happen.
Biel is the danger man of Pafos, with the attacker leading the way with one goal in two games in UEFA Europa League Qualification 2026. These sides are likely to produce an interesting clash of styles and Salzburg will certainly get more joy than they have done in the previous two rounds of this competition. The first leg was a 2-0 loss away to HNK Hajduk Split, though they bounced back in fine fashion to dispatch them 4-0 after extra time in the second leg earlier today.
At home, Salzburg have won two, drawn one and lost three across all competitions so far this season. They're scoring at a rate of 1.50 goals per game whilst conceding 1.67. Pafos will certainly test the home defence, but they've conceded nine goals in five away games so far and this has the feel of a goal fest about it. As such, both teams to score at 1.72 and over 2.5 goals at 1.75 look like solid bets.
