- Anderlecht have 0 wins in their last 2 away matches (D1, L1).
- PAOK Thessaloniki come into the match as slight form favourites.
- Both teams have found their best form in this tournament (PAOK 3W, 1D, 1L in last 5 matches, Anderlecht W2, D2, L1).
PAOK are in form
PAOK Thessaloniki are the slight favourites with the bookies at 1.8, but Anderlecht are available at 4.45 for the win here and the draw at 3.7 looks overpriced too, so this is a clash to watch closely.
This is a match-up of styles between the three-at-the-back shape of PAOK, who've been playing more disciplined football under new boss Alessio Lisci since his arrival. Their wide wing-backs create overloads and their pace allows them to transition faster than they were previously managing. Giannis Konstantelias has been their main man in the final third in UEFA Europa League Qualification 2026, top-scoring with 3 goals from 2 games.
Anderlecht have been impressive under Vitor Bruno so far, playing a possession-based game where they press opponents high and create lots of turns in wide areas, but they've yet to win away in 4 attempts in all competitions (D2, L2). They've averaged 1.00 goals scored and 2.50 goals conceded away from home, so their record isn't great.
Anderlecht can keep it close
We think this is a night for a narrow PAOK victory or tense draw as the game will be tight. The bookies have got the odds about right here with the hosts coming in as slight favourites, but we're going to take the draw at a nice price.
Both teams to score comes in at 1.8 and that looks about right too, but the only reason we're taking the under on goals here is that the market has Under 2.5 slightly shorter than Over 2.5 at 1.87. PAOK have averaged 2.33 scored and 1.33 conceded at home from 6 matches in all competitions (W3, D1, L2), so it's a goal fest by no means.
Anderlecht have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 in their last 5 matches, a run which includes a 3-1 home win against Hammarby and a 1-1 away draw against the same side. Danylo Sikan has been their best finisher in this competition, scoring 2 goals in 2 games and contributing 3 of Anderlecht's 8 goals across the same 5-game run.
