- New England Revolution have won 7 and lost only 1 of their 8 home games in MLS 2026, scoring 17 goals.
- Toronto FC have won 1 and lost 4 of their 5 away games in MLS 2026, conceding 11 goals.
- Toronto FC have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, including their last 4 straight.
Odds-on New England are a live bet
New England Revolution are the heavy favourites for this MLS 2026 matchup at 1.8, ahead of Toronto FC at 4.68 and the draw at 3.83, and the hosts look worthy of a wager on that basis.
Revs boss Marko Mitrovic, appointed on 7 November 2025, has an attack-first approach which has the Revs pressing high and playing on the front foot, while Toronto FC's Robin Fraser, who was hired on 10 January 2025, has set up his side to play through the width and controlled buildup.
That will be a real style contrast on the pitch and should open up pockets of space, particularly if Toronto are forced to play through New England's early pressure. New England have won two and lost three of their last five, including a 1-0 defeat away at Charlotte in MLS 2026 and a 0-3 home loss to Ironbound SC in USL League Two 2026, but they did beat Minnesota United 2-0 at home in MLS 2026.
Revs are a home force
The Revolution are 7th in MLS 2026 with 25 points from 14 games, while Toronto FC are 26th with 14 points from the same number of games.
New England have been a fortress at home, winning seven and losing one of their eight MLS 2026 games at Boston Stadium. They have scored 17 goals in eight home games and will have enough to break down Toronto FC on Wednesday.
Carles Gil has five MLS 2026 goals in 14 games and can create and finish, so he is New England's main goal threat. Luca Langoni has two goals in New England's last five games and can provide a sharp spark for a team that has only scored four goals in that spell.
TFC have travel sickness
Toronto have been a poor travelling team in MLS 2026, with two defeats in their two most recent away games - 3-1 at Charlotte and 2-1 at Chicago Fire.
Emilio Aristizabal has two goals in Toronto's last five and has been one of the few bright spots in a team that has scored six goals in that period.
Daniel Salloi leads TFC's goal scoring in MLS 2026 with four goals in 14 appearances, so he is the most likely man to get on the scoresheet in the away team.
Both teams to score looks live at 1.68, but taking New England to win and over 2.5 goals at 1.8 fits the home-side edge and attacking tone of this fixture.
