- New York Red Bulls have been better in all competitions with four wins, two draws and four defeats in their last 10 matches.
- Philadelphia Union have been much less impressive with one win, four draws and five defeats in their last 10 in all competitions.
- New York Red Bulls have split their last four away matches with two wins and two defeats in all competitions.
Philadelphia still finding their rhythm under Richter
Philadelphia Union should be on top of New York Red Bulls for Wednesday's I-95 rivalry match at Subaru Park, but the odds favor the home side.
Richter's men come into this MLS 2026 match on the back of a mixed run that includes zero wins, two draws and three defeats in their last five.
Their two most recent results have been a 1-1 home draw with Columbus Crew and a 6-4 away defeat at Inter Miami CF, suggesting they are still trying to find their rhythm under the guidance of Ryan Richter, who took over on 27 May 2026.
Philadelphia remain a compact, high-pressing team that gets the ball forward quickly in transition, but the results are not really backing up the idea that they have fully bedded in yet.
Red Bulls should be good for a goal
Iloski is the main danger man for Philadelphia with seven goals in 15 MLS 2026 appearances, but he has been particularly red-hot of late with five of Philadelphia's eight goals in their last five games.
And he'll have a chance against a visiting team that will leave it all open. Sekagya's Red Bulls still play with the classic Red Bull DNA, with aggressive pressing and rapid transitions.
In this match-up, it will be a battle of pressing and whoever handles their second balls and build-up pressure best should take the spoils.
New York Red Bulls have been more clinical than Philadelphia on their travels in all competitions, averaging 1.50 goals per away match and scoring six goals away from home.
Philadelphia's forward line has been blunt, averaging just 0.33 goals per home match in all competitions and scoring just once in their most recent three at Subaru Park.
Union have more quality, but not a lot
That is why the Union should nick this, but not by a large margin, which is why our fancy is for Philadelphia to win and under 2.5 goals, which also reflects the fact that this game will be a grind and the draw odds of 4.22 seem a bit too low.
Richter's side have drawn their last three home matches, but they are yet to really capitalise on their periods of control to win the game at this venue. The visiting Red Bulls have been sloppy at the back at times, but will be good for a goal on Wednesday in what could be another close and competitive clash between these long-standing rivals.
