- Racing dominated the 2025/26 Dames Ligue 1, winning 23 of their 24 games to finish top of the table with 70 points, 162 goals
- HJK top the 2026 Kansallinen Liiga with 39 points from 14 games, having lost only once in the Finnish top flight (W13, D0, L1)
- Racing and HJK have no prior competitive H2H meetings, so all previous data is off the table for this one
HJK are the hotter favourite
HJK are the 1.4 favourites with Racing at 5.8 and the draw at 4.45, which seems a bit off to us. HJK are the red-hot favourites to advance to the 2026-2027 UEFA Champions League Women Qualification third qualifying round in this semi-final of the mini-tournament, but we wouldn't want to take them in the head-to-head market.
HJK have won their last five straight league games, a run that included a 2-0 win away at PK-35 Vantaa, a 4-0 home win over HPS and a 3-1 win at Ilves. Jonne Kunnas' side have found a rhythm that seems to have no end as the Finnish champions have won all but one of their 14 domestic fixtures in 2026.
Kerttu Sarelius is HJK's sharpest edge in 2026, but Reetta Suomela, Isabella Ylätalo and Nora Heroum provide width, craft and end product to a multi-headed attack that has been scoring and winning games with ease.
Luxembourg are coming off their own hot streak
Racing finished top of the 2025/26 Dames Ligue 1 and have started the 2026/27 campaign with a 4-0 Luxembourg Cup win over SC Ell and an 8-0 league thrashing of Swift Hesper. Roger Luthardt Alexandre's side are a compact, transition-first outfit and have been extremely productive in their domestic league to this point.
Sophie Quatrana is the danger woman that Racing can rely on to deliver goals in Europe, and she can be just as lethal on the domestic stage. But M. Estévez, C. Corplet and Célia Rigaud give the hosts serious depth in attack, and their goals have been spread out in recent weeks, so there's a good chance that Luxembourg can hurt HJK from various angles in this match.
Side with the goals
We simply can't side with the visitors at 1.4, which is a very skinny price. Racing are a good team, but HJK have far greater depth, so we're going to go with the Over 2.5 option at 1.37 and the Both Teams To Score - Yes option at 1.58. It's going to be a tough match, but HJK's quality should see them through.
