- Como are in better form, picking up 10 points from their last 5 matches (W3, D1, L1).
- Fiorentina are winless in 3 home Serie A 2026/2027 matches (D1, L2).
- Como have scored 7 goals in 4 away matches in Serie A 2026/2027 and boast a 2-1-1 away record.
Tight contest expected in Firenze
Despite the fact that the Serie A 2026/2027 table has AC Fiorentina in 18th spot on four points with Calcio Como sitting six in sixth place on 11, the odds favour the visitors on Sunday. I Lariani can be backed at 2.06 for this match, while La Viola are 3.3 and the draw is 3.55, so the market is siding with the team with momentum.
That's not to mention that Fiorentina are without a win in three home matches against Como and it takes a big picture view to understand why the market is aligned against the hosts at Artemio Franchi. La Viola edged I Lariani 2-1 away from home in Serie A 2025/2026, but the sides had split the previous two meetings 1-1 and Fiorentina don't have a superior head-to-head record here.
I Lariani are in much better form, however, and have earned ten of their 11 Serie A 2026/2027 points across their last five matches, which have seen them record a 2-1 home win over Parma, a 2-0 away defeat to Frosinone, and a 0-0 draw with Roma. They have been showing a well-drilled side that can grind and strike, and will need to improve their home form to win on Sunday.
Fàbregas’ men can edge it
Paolo Vanoli has done well with Fiorentina since taking over on 7 September 2026 and his fluid 3-at-the-back system is designed to overload the wide areas and counter opponents with quick, vertical attacks. His side do not have the home edge here, however, which makes this a very tight match to predict.
I Lariani have looked much more assured in recent weeks, taking four points from their last three games, which have included a 2-1 home win over Parma, 2-0 away defeat to Frosinone and 0-0 draw with Roma. Fàbregas' 4-2-3-1 system demands controlled build-up, high-tempo wing attacks and advanced pressing triggers, which should ensure this is a tight match.
Anastasios Douvikas leads the way for Como with two Serie A 2026/2027 goals in five appearances with Assane Diao netting three times in I Lariani's last five, while Nico Paz has three assists over the same timeframe to give Fàbregas' side the creative spark in the centre of the park. Franco Mastantuono has three goals in five Serie A 2026/2027 matches and has been the main outlet for La Viola, with his movement helping to keep the front line lively.
Both teams to score - Yes at 1.55 and Over 2.5 goals at 1.65 are very decent odds for what looks likely to be an open affair, given Como's prolific form in front of goal and Fiorentina's woeful home record of 0.67 goals scored and 2.00 goals conceded per match. Como look the likelier result on recent form and league position, but Fiorentina's home struggles and the H2H record are enough to suggest this won't be a walk in the park for the visitors.
