1. FC Union Berlin

vs

RB Leipzig

Tips, Stats and Odds

Union struggling under new boss

Die Eisernen are on a 2-match losing streak after back-to-back 2-0 losses to Freiburg in Bundesliga 2026-2027 and Wolfsburg in a friendly. Mauro Lustrinelli took over at the club on 1 July 2026 and has been trying to install a high-pressing game in a 4-2-2-2 or 4-1-3-2 system with his team pressing high up the pitch and looking to get on the break. But they have not been as successful as Lustrinelli would have liked, despite Janik Haberer's purple patch that has seen him bag two of Union's three goals in their last 5 matches across all current competitions. The visitors have a much better attacking flow at the moment and can hurt teams quickly if they win the ball in the top half of the pitch - Antonio Nusa is their most dangerous player with 2 goals in 4 Bundesliga 2026-2027 games and is the only player capable of carrying the ball at pace and driving at the heart of a defence.

Leipzig still have some bite

Martin Demichelis has kept an aggressive tempo at the top of Leipzig's game since taking over as coach on 1 July 2026. His team still counterpress, still like to play at a high tempo and still produce some nice quick combinations when they win the ball in advanced positions. Die Roten Bullen have more of an attacking flow right now and, although there was some sloppiness evident in the 4-5 friendly defeat to Mlada Boleslav last week, they should have more than enough to win this game. Union's record against them at home is much better than elsewhere with both defeats to Leipzig coming in the away leg. A Leipzig win looks the most likely outcome, but Union are good at home and will make a game of this to keep them in the relegation battle, so the draw might not be as far off as the odds suggest. A Leipzig win and over 2.5 goals, which can be backed at 11/25, looks a good alternative to backing the favourites at 11/20 when Die Roten Bullen have 3 wins from their last 5 across all competitions.