- Bayern are unbeaten in their last five games, winning the last two (W3, D2).
- Mainz have won one and lost four of their last five (L3).
- Bayern are undefeated away from home in the Bundesliga 2026/2027 (W2, D2) and have conceded four goals across four games on the road.
Bayern can boss the ball and boss the game
Bayern Munich have hit a stride and should have too much for 1. FSV Mainz 05 at the MEWA Arena, Germany, on Saturday. Bayern are top of the Bundesliga 2026/2027 table with 17 points from seven games, seven more than their opponents for this fixture, 8th-placed Mainz, who have played one game more (10 points).
FC Bayern are a team in full flow at the moment, racking up 3-1 and 6-1 wins away from home at Freiburg and Magdeburg, respectively, in their latest Bundesliga 2026/2027 and DFB-Pokal assignments. Vincent Kompany's side are playing with a free-flowing and high-tempo style, pressing with numbers in the opponent's half and with an overloading in the final third.
Mainz come into this one off a poor run of results, which saw them lose 2-3 at home to Werder Bremen in the Bundesliga 2026/2027 and then follow that up with a 2-0 defeat at Bochum in the DFB-Pokal. Urs Fischer has set his team up to be compact and try to stifle the play, but they're better suited to quick transitions.
Back Bayern to edge out a fast-paced affair
The odds on this one, with Bayern 2/5, Mainz 47/10 and the draw 9/2, don't offer anything for backers at the time of writing. Backing a goal-fest to ensue with over 2.5 goals at 1/5 and both teams to score at 33/100 is the way to go.
This fixture has a history of producing exciting clashes, such as when these two sides last met in the Bundesliga 2026/2027 and Bayern won 4-3 as the visiting team. Harry Kane already has five assists in Bayern's last five and his team plays through the ex-Tottenham man. Michael Olise has four Bundesliga goals in four games, which shows how potent they are from the front line.
While Bayern are the clear favourites, it's worth noting that Mainz have some decent goal power themselves. Phillip Tietz leads the team with four Bundesliga 2026/2027 goals in as many games and Anthony Caci has three of Mainz's ten in the last five, so they can score from midfield, too.
Bayern are the best team in the Bundesliga 2026/2027 and they should be able to dominate this game by keeping the ball and pressing Mainz back. However, Mainz are good on the counter-attack, so we see them keeping things interesting for the first half or so before Bayern's pressure tells. The visitors have won three of their last five meetings with Mainz and triumphed on two of their last three trips to this venue, so we're backing Die Roten to edge out a victory.
