- Mainz form: Mainz have won one and lost four of their last five matches, suffering three straight defeats in all competitions.
- Bayern form: Bayern are unbeaten in five, with three wins and two draws, and have won their last two.
- Bayern away form: Bayern are undefeated in away Bundesliga 2026/2027 games, winning twice and drawing twice, conceding just four goals in four games.
Back Bayern to see off Mainz
1. FSV Mainz 05 have had a slightly slower start to the Bundesliga 2026/2027 campaign, currently sitting in eighth place with 10 points from eight games. FC Bayern Munich are top of the table after seven games, having taken 17 points from the last possible 21.
Tactical battle:
This is a matchup of compact block against positional overload, with Urs Fischer's Nullfünfer side playing a fairly compact system and looking to counterattack when they can. Vincent Kompany has the Munich giants playing a much more fluid and fast-paced game with some heavy pressing and overloads in the final third.
Key players:
- Phillip Tietz has hit four Bundesliga 2026/2027 goals in his first four games for Mainz and is their most direct threat in the box, but Anthony Caci has three goals in Mainz's last 5 matches, offering a different type of threat when he is used in deeper areas.
- Michael Olise is Bayern's top scorer in the Bundesliga 2026/2027 with four goals in his last four matches.
- Harry Kane has already laid on five assists in their last five games as the team flows through him.
Bayern have edge in all departments
Bayern have dominated this game over the past few seasons, but Bayern did come out on top 4-3 when they last faced off in the Bundesliga 2026/2027 last season. The game has the potential to explode into a goal-fest, but in a more straightforward head-to-head, Bayern have the edge in all areas of the field.
The visitors are unbeaten in four away games in the Bundesliga 2026/2027, winning twice and conceding just four goals, while Mainz have drawn once and lost three of their four home matches in the league, scoring just six goals at the MEWA Arena, Germany.
Mainz come into this game in poor form, having lost 2-3 to Werder Bremen in their first home game of the Bundesliga 2026/2027 and then suffering a 2-0 defeat in the DFB-Pokal at Bochum. Bayern will be looking to dominate this contest from the start, but Mainz should be able to keep it tight for a while with their transition game before Bayern should be in control and able to edge another away win.
Die Roten are favored at 1.4, while the home team are 5.7 and the draw is at 5.5, all of which looks like a stretch to us. We are going for over 2.5 goals at 1.2 and both teams to score at 1.33, although we fully expect Bayern to be the ones scoring.
