- Genoa have won one and lost four of their last five matches
- Frosinone have won their only away game in Serie A 2026/2027
- Genoa have lost their last three games
A tricky test for Grifone
Daniele De Rossi's Genoa will have to produce their best performance of the season to beat in-form Frosinone when the two clubs face off at Stadio Luigi Ferraris on Saturday.
The Grifone have taken 0 points from their opening three games in Serie A 2026/2027, and now sit 19th in the table. Frosinone, by contrast, have three points from two games and are in 10th place.
Genoa's last three results have been a 0-1 home defeat to Juventus, a 0-3 away win at AC Fiorentina and a draw with Sassuolo in the Coppa Italia, which they followed up with a penalty shoot-out defeat to Sassuolo.
De Rossi’s side lack sting
De Rossi has set up his 3-5-2/3-4-2-1 in a very progressive way for this level, and the Italian's system relies on his wingers to overload the wide areas, his side to be compact and defensively solid in possession and his wing-backs and midfielders to press and counter-press aggressively.
That should make for a good match against a Frosinone side that will be looking to disrupt Genoa from the off, with Massimiliano Alvini's 4-3-3 looking to press high, play vertical and attack early.
Alvini's team have been almost perfect on the road in Serie A 2026/2027, winning one and drawing 0 of their one away game so far and scoring 3.00 goals per game. However, they've also conceded 0.00 goals per away day, so their travelling act has been solid as a rock.
Frosinone can make a good game of it
Genoa's average of 0.50 goals scored per home game is the biggest reason they have not been able to start this season strongly and they will need their forwards to be on form on Saturday.
Milutin Osmajic is the Grifone's Serie A 2026/2027 top-scorer with 1 goal in two games, while Lorenzo Colombo has added one assist in three appearances. Frosinone's Antonio Raimondo is the danger man to watch with two goals in two in Serie A 2026/2027 and three goals in his last five appearances in all competitions. Gabriele Bracaglia has added another assist in 2 Serie A 2026/2027 games to give Alvini another creative spark from the back or wide areas.
Genoa are favourites at 4/5, but Frosinone are 17/5 and the draw is 5/2, which suggests the bookies are not looking at this match correctly. Genoa have lost two and drawn 0 of their two home games in Serie A 2026/2027, so the Grifone have been leaking points at home. Frosinone's form away from home and Genoa's home woes point to an away win, but this looks like a 50-50 match and the odds make it tempting to play for the draw.
I'm going for a tight, low-scoring affair, so Under 2.5 goals at 13/20 and Both Teams to Score - No at 77/100 are my selections.
A 1-1 draw would not be a surprise, given that was the result between the two sides in Serie A 2023/2024 and they split the win in the last two head-to-heads, so I will play the double chance bet for small stakes.
