- AFC Wimbledon have been unbeaten at home in League One 2026/2027 (Won 2, Drawn 2).
- Stevenage Borough have won three of their last five (Lost 1), beating Luton Town 2-1 at home and thrashing Walsall 6-1 away in the EFL Trophy 2026/2027.
- Stevenage are unbeaten in the last three head-to-head meetings (Won 2, Drawn 1).
Stevenage should have the edge
Stevenage are 13th in League One 2026/2027 with nine points from seven games and that's one place behind AFC Wimbledon, who are 8th with 12 points from eight games.
The Dons have found some form in recent weeks with two wins, two draws and one loss in their last five, but the two draws in a row (0-0 vs Milton Keynes Dons, 1-1 vs Cambridge United) have been a bit of a concern after they beat Doncaster Rovers 1-0.
Stevenage have been in good form recently with three wins and one defeat in their last five, and they should have the quality to get the better of the Dons on Saturday.
Boro' will arrive at the Cherry Red Records Stadium in confident mood having beaten League One 2026/2027 pacesetters Luton Town 2-1 at Broadhall Way and thrashed Walsall 6-1 away in the EFL Trophy 2026/2027.
The Boro' have punch in the final third
While the odds suggest that Stevenage are the more likely winners, and they do have recent history to suggest that they can do well against the Dons, the bet of the day here is probably the Draw at 21/10.
Boro' are favourites with the bookies at 37/25, just ahead of the hosts at 48/25, so there doesn't seem to be a lot to choose between them and it may take a long time to sort this one out.
Stevenage have conceded just three goals on their travels in League One 2026/2027 (0.75 per game) and they have a strong away record of one win, two draws and one defeat in four matches.
AFC Wimbledon are averaging 0.50 goals per home game in League One 2026/2027, so it's likely to be a cagey affair on Saturday.
Boro' have more firepower
Boro' boss Alex Revell has done a superb job since taking charge of the club on 17th April 2024, with the club shaped by his pragmatic 4-4-2, compact style and structured pressing game.
Dons boss Johnnie Jackson has worked wonders since taking the helm on 16th May 2022 and his side, which is based around a 3-5-2, seems built on structure, width and set-piece threat.
That matchup looks like a recipe for a cagey battle on Saturday, which will probably be settled by set pieces and second balls.
Under 2.5 goals at 31/50 is a touch overpriced and BTTS - No at 4/5 is also worth a punt in what could be a long afternoon in England for Boro'.
Stevenage have a slight edge in the match result market, but this still looks like a narrow, tactical battle rather than a shootout.
Stevenage have averaged 3.7 goals per game as visitors in the last 5 head-to-heads and the Dons have averaged 2.7 against Boro' at this ground over the same period.
Myles Hippolyte has 3 goals in 7 for Wimbledon, which is the most of any Dons player in League One 2026/2027.
Michael Mellon has 4 goals in his last 5 games, which is almost 1/3 of the Boro' total.
Jayden Stockley has contributed with 2 goals in Wimbledon's last 5 and could provide the finishing touch if the Dons can lock Stevenage in. James Tilley has the creator in chief for the Dons with 2 assists in 5 games in League One 2026/2027, while Dan Kemp leads the Boro' scoring charts with 3 in 7.
