- Elche have no wins in 3 games in LaLiga 2026/2027, averaging 1.50 goals per away game and conceding 2.00 goals per away game.
- Athletic Bilbao are clear odds-on favourites to win the match at 13/25, while Elche are 5/1 and the draw is 3/1.
Athletic Bilbao are the likeliest winners
Elche haven't won in their 2 LaLiga 2026/2027 games away from home (D1, L1), while Athletic Bilbao are 7th in the table with 6 points from 4 games and Elche are 19th with 1 point from 3 games. Athletic Bilbao are a 2-1 winner at home in the last head-to-head from LaLiga 2025/2026, but Elche could put up a better performance at San Mames, Spain on Saturday.
Both of these teams have played 2 away matches in this new LaLiga campaign, but while Athletic Bilbao have split theirs evenly (W1, D0, L1), Elche have yet to win away (D1, L1) and their defence looks leaky. Elche have scored an average of 1.50 goals across their 2 away games in the current campaign and have conceded 2.00, so we're expecting them to get on the scoresheet in the Basque Country, but Athletic Bilbao are much more likely to come away with the 3 points.
Elche may be able to make this a scrap
While Athletic Bilbao have won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches across all current competitions, they head into this one off the back of 2 straight wins and a loss at Barcelona. Edin Terzic's side will press high and fast with quick transitions from a 4-2-3-1 system that can turn into overload-heavy shapes, but Martín Anselmi's Elche set up with a 3-man central structure, wingbacks, and a high press, so the middle third could get scrappy.
Buba Sangare has 1 goal in 3 appearances for Elche in the LaLiga 2026/2027 campaign, making the Ivorian the club's top scorer, but Gonzalo Villar provides a creative spark from deep with 1 assist in 3 appearances. Aitor Paredes leads Athletic Bilbao's scoring charts in the 2026/2027 campaign with 1 goal in 2 games, so Los Leones have a threat from defence too. However, Robert Navarro has 3 of Athletic Bilbao's 9 goals across all competitions in their last 5, so the livewire is worth a flutter in the anytime scorer market for Saturday's game.
Both sides can get on the scoreboard
Both teams have scored in 2 of Elche's 3 games in the new LaLiga season and they have already conceded 3 goals at home, so we can see Los Franjiverdes scoring a goal at San Mames. But the hosts have also conceded 3 times at home, so both sides can register on Saturday.
The odds for both teams to score are quite short, so the safer play is to take Athletic Bilbao to pick up the 3 points with under 3.5 goals in the match. Bilbao have the advantage across the last 3 H2Hs (W1, D1, L1) and Elche need their first win on the road. Athletic Bilbao have averaged 1.0 goal against Elche in their last 3 home matches, while Elche have also scored on average 1.5 in their 2 away LaLiga 2026/2027 matches, so this may be a close match.
