- Real Madrid have won 4 of their last 5 matches across all competitions, losing once.
- Rayo Vallecano have won once, drawn once and lost 3 of their last 5 across all competitions.
- Real Madrid are unbeaten in the last 5 H2H meetings (W2, D3).
Mourinho’s men mean business in 2026/2027
Real Madrid have won 2 of their 2 LaLiga 2026/2027 home games, conceding just 0.50 goals per-match at the Estadio Bernabeu. Their latest home game was a 4-0 thumping of Malaga CF, before they suffered a 1-0 reverse to Real Betis last time out in LaLiga 2026/2027.
Jose Mourinho's players have had some time to stew on that defeat, and they will look to bounce back against Rayo Vallecano on Saturday. Los Blancos are 2nd in LaLiga 2026/2027 with 9 points from 4 games while Rayo are 12th with four from as many.
Kylian Mbappe has been a cut above for Real so far this season, the Frenchman is their top goalscorer in the league with 4 goals from 4 games. Rayo will have to keep an eye on Mbappe as their most potent player, Sergio Camello, has bagged 3 goals in 3 for Vallecano, that's 4 in 5 for the danger man.
Rayo will make a stand at the Bernabeu
After a 1-1 draw at home to Deportivo Alaves in their opener, Rayo were torn apart 5-2 by Barcelona on the road, before picking up their first win of the season in a 3-2 victory over Racing Santander in the third round of fixtures.
Beñat San Jose has kept Rayo's press lively and vertical, with Rayo continuing to press high and play on the break. Unai Lopez has been a key orchestrator for Rayo so far, supplying 3 assists in their last 5 matches, while their side have scored 8 in their last 5.
The Verdict
These sides are 2nd and 12th in the LaLiga 2026/2027 table, and while Rayo are the underdog, they do have it in them to make a game of this. Los Blancos have the psychological advantage after winning the last H2H 2-1 at home, and are unbeaten in the last 5 against Saturday's visitors.
The odds are heavily against Rayo here with Real Madrid heavy favourites at 7/50, while the draw is 27/4 and Rayo are a long shot, so we are going to side with the hosts. However, under 2.5 goals at 47/20 looks an excellent price if Mourinho's side keep it controlled and Rayo don't have enough to break them down.
