- Burnley have failed to win either of their last 2 home H2Hs.
- Burnley are winless in their last 5 Championship 2026/2027 matches (D3, L2).
- Wolverhampton are unbeaten in 3 of their 4 Championship 2026/2027 away matches.
Turf Moor tussle looks a close call
Wolves will hope to have enough to keep their form at Burnley's expense on Friday as the Black Country outfit have started the season more impressively than Nicky Hayen's Clarets.
In the 4th place, with 14 points from 7 games, the Old Gold are 10 points above Burnley's 24th-placed side, which has only amassed four points from eight matches.
The last meeting between the sides finished 1-1 at Turf Moor in the Premier League 2025/2026 and there's enough evidence to suggest that another draw could be on the cards here. Wolves are slight favourites at 23/20, but the Clarets are a tempting 211/100 and the draw, at 5/2, is also worth a small punt in the double chance market.
Hayen’s Clarets are in a tough spot
Nicky Hayen has failed to land a punch since taking over at Turf Moor on 10th July, 2026. He has tried to get Burnley playing a more structured, possession-based game and built his approach on a build-from-the-back philosophy with controlled pressing in the opposition half.
His tactics haven't been working as he would want, however, with the Clarets having drawn 1-1 with Wrexham, lost 3-1 at Swansea City and drawn 1-1 with Derby County in their three most recent Championship 2026/2027 outings.
Zeki Amdouni is his main outlet and is the top scorer at the club with 2 goals in eight games, so he is the best bet to score at any time for Burnley on Friday.
Peixoto’s Wolves are more exciting to watch
César Peixoto took over as Wolverhampton boss on 16 June, 2026, and has brought a different approach to the side. The tactician has instilled a high-energy, front-foot style of play upon the team and they have produced their best football in patches when they have been able to press effectively, win the duels that follow and flow into the attacking transition. Wolverhampton beat West Bromwich 1-0 at home in the Championship 2026/2027 last weekend, which was an impressive response to their 1-0 defeat to Everton in the EFL Cup 2026/2027 at Goodison Park. And it was in five games that Wolverhampton had played in the second tier, winning 2, drawing 1 and losing 2. They've shipped seven goals in this period, so 1.75 per game on average, so we cannot expect them to keep it tight for the full 90 at Turf Moor.
Old Gold have the edge
Fer Lopez is the most dangerous Wolverhampton player right now and is the club's leading scorer in the Championship 2026/2027 with four goals from seven appearances. He has scored two of Wolverhampton's last five and will be a good bet to do so again here if Peixoto's side can carve out enough chances.
The double chance selection of draw or Wolverhampton win looks a bit of a lean bet on the away side based on the form book, but also the odds on offer. Burnley's home form in the Championship 2026/2027 has been poor, with three draws and a defeat from four matches.
Wolverhampton are undefeated in three of their four away matches, so they should come out on top at the least. There is a head-to-head theme for a draw in the correct score market as Burnley have won one and Wolverhampton have won two, and drawn two of the last five meetings.
