- Norwich have won two and lost two of their four home games in the Championship 2026/2027.
- Pompey have won one, drawn one and lost two of their away matches in the Championship 2026/2027, averaging just 1.00 goal per game away from home.
Norwich City are too long to win at home
Norwich City are 18th in the Championship 2026/2027 with nine points from nine games while Portsmouth are 19th with eight points from eight matches, so this looks like a basement battle.
The Canaries, under Philippe Clement, have been a little better in general, with more structure and a more possession-first approach, and this will be a real test of whether they can control Pompey, who are a bit more open and transition-based.
Marko Milovanovic has two goals in the Championship 2026/2027 and is Portsmouth's best bet to nick a goal.
Pompey have drawn two, won one and lost two of their last five games in all competitions. A 0-0 draw at Charlton Athletic was followed by a 2-2 home draw with Blackburn Rovers and a 1-0 defeat at Southampton. Pompey have been tough to beat, but a little short on sharpness.
Norwich City are 73/100 favourites, with Portsmouth 169/50 and the draw 11/4.
This is a game of two teams that look similar to the sort of teams that can be caught in the relegation dogfight this season, but Portsmouth will be a tough nut to crack.
Pompey are tough to crack.
Pompey’s away stats make Norwich look overpriced
Portsmouth have played four, won once, drawn once and lost twice on the road in the Championship 2026/2027, and have scored just four goals on their travels in that time.
In their last four meetings across all competitions, Norwich have won once, Portsmouth once and there have been two draws. The Canaries last played at home to Portsmouth in the Championship 2025/2026, drawing 1-1 and they have failed to win either of their previous two home games against Portsmouth.
Norwich have won twice and lost twice at Carrow Road, but have still scored 10 goals in four home Championship 2026/2027 matches, so can squeeze this out. Norwich are coming off a run of four consecutive defeats in all competitions, including a loss to Bolton Wanderers and a loss to Swansea City.
Portsmouth are managed by John Mousinho, who has been in charge since January 2023 and has assembled a pragmatic, transition-based side that are dangerous on the counter attack.
A home win with under 3.5 goals looks the value bet in this fixture as Portsmouth won't make it easy and, although Norwich are the favourites, the table and the stats tell us that this will be a scrap rather than a walkover.
Mohamed Toure has scored five goals in the Championship 2026/2027 for the Canaries and is their main man up top.
