- FC Sheriff Tiraspol are undefeated at home in all current competitions (W5, D0, L0) and have scored an average of 2.20 goals per match and conceded only 0.20 per match over those 5 fixtures.
- Aluminij are unconvincing away from home in all current competitions, averaging 0.50 goals scored and 1.83 conceded per match across their last 6 away matches (W2, L4).
- Sheriff are the clear betting favourite in the match outcome market, with Sheriff at 7/10, Aluminij at 18/5 and the draw at 5/2.
Sheriff are in a class of their own
FC Sheriff are the 2025 Moldovan Super Liga champions and one of the most impressive sides in this season's UEFA Europa League qualification campaign so far. Victor Mihailov has made a real impression on the team since taking charge on 1 June 2025, and his side are well drilled and very proactive.
Sheriff have 6 wins, 3 draws and just 1 loss in their last 10 in all competitions, which is a pretty steady record for a side that rarely gives up points. They came through their 1st qualifying round fixture comfortably, winning 3-0 in the home second leg. They followed up with another 0-0 away result at Politehnica Chisinau and a 3-0 home win over Real Sireti. Sheriff have won their last 2 home matches, keeping a clean sheet in both.
Aluminij have a completely different make-up to Sheriff and are far more likely to sit in and keep it tight, looking to punish the hosts on the counter-attack. Aluminij have won just 1 of their last 5 (W1, D1, L3) which is a bad run of form ahead of a very tough trip to Moldova. Jure Arsič sets up his side to play a compact 3-5-2 or 3-4-1-2 structure, with the wing-backs providing width and a rigid defensive structure protecting their goal. Aluminij have lost 3 of their last 4 on the road, so their travel legs will need to be back up to scratch for this one.
Going for goals
Sheriff have scored an average of 2.20 goals and conceded just 0.20 goals per match at home in all comps this term. Aluminij have averaged just 0.50 goals scored and 1.83 goals conceded per match on their travels in all comps during this same period. Sheriff have the firepower to control this game and Aluminij will be chasing shadows, so a Sheriff win & under 3.5 goals looks a solid fit for the odds and the form.
Sheriff tend to play a 4-3-3 or 4-2-3-1 hybrid, where the fullbacks fly forward, there is only 1 pivot, and quick vertical transitions are key. Aluminij will have to rely on Bamba Susso to give them a spark if they want to compete with the classier sides in this competition, but Sheriff should have more than enough quality to edge this one and control the tie. Sheriff's attack has had multiple gears to it in recent matches and Jayder Asprilla has the form to make the difference here, having scored 2 of their 6 goals across the last 5 matches.
