- Genoa have 1 draw and 2 defeats from 3 home Serie A 2026/2027 games, averaging 0.67 goals for and 2.33 against.
- Fiorentina are on a run of 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches in all competitions.
Tight game likely at Stadio Luigi Ferraris
Daniele De Rossi's Genoa are 19th in Serie A 2026/2027 with 1 point from 5 games, while AC Fiorentina are 17th with 4 points from 5. So it isn't difficult to see why La Viola are the 6/5 favourites ahead of Genoa at 11/5 and the draw at 23/10 here, but it's going to be tight at the Stadio Luigi Ferraris and the 0-0 from the reverse game is alive in the betting.
Genoa have suffered consecutive defeats going into this match, losing 2-1 at AC Parma in Serie A 2026/2027 and 2-0 at Rapid Bucuresti in a friendly, but it hasn't been an easy start for Daniele De Rossi's side.
De Rossi is slowly implementing his high-work ethic, organised, transition-based game plan and his team have looked more solid in their recent outings. Il Grifone have also failed to win either of their last 2 home games against Fiorentina, so we're dealing with a fixture that is ripe for a draw.
De Rossi’s boys are tough to break down
Fiorentina have won 1 of their 2 Serie A 2026/2027 away games, but have also shipped 6 goals on the road at an average of 3.00 per game. La Viola will have to try and break through this Genoa back three, who are built to stay compact, win second balls and spring counters through high wing-backs and direct balls for Milutin Osmajic, the league's leading scorer for Genoa with 2 goals in 4 games in Serie A 2026/2027.
In fact, 2 of Genoa's last 4 goals have been scored by Milutin Osmajic, who is their biggest threat right now. Lorenzo Colombo has been the creative spark, however, providing 2 assists in 5 Serie A 2026/2027 outings, while Mateo Pellegrino, Franco Mastantuono and Cher Ndour will look to get forward.
Paolo Vanoli has done a good job since taking charge of Fiorentina on 7th September 2026 and La Viola have looked a more structured and balanced unit in possession under his watch. They will look to stretch the Genoa block with their wide-front-three and overlapping full-backs while they will target the half-spaces and flanks where La Viola can get the better of Il Grifone.
Draw is worth a flutter
Fiorentina look the more likely to win this one, but the draw has real bite here given the 0-0 in the previous game and the teams' recent form in front of goal. Under 2.5 goals at 4/5 looks the sharp alternative.
