- Current form: GNK Dinamo Zagreb are undefeated in their last 10 matches across all competitions (Won 7, Drawn 3).
- Visitors' form: FC Thun have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 across all competitions.
- Home form: GNK Dinamo Zagreb are unbeaten in their last 4 home games across all competitions (Won 2, Drawn 2).
Tight game in prospect as two sides with a point to prove face off
Odds and context
GNK Dinamo Zagreb are the favorites to win Tuesday's UEFA Champions League qualification match at 1.4 with their Swiss visitors Thun at 8.0 and the draw at 4.65.
A 1-1 tie at Thun's home ground keeps the contest balanced going into this return leg, but the hosts are clearly the favourites to qualify.
Dinamo form
Mario Kovačević's 4-2-3-1 side are playing well at the moment, with a 0-0 home draw against Lokomotiva followed by that 1-1 draw away in Champions League qualification.
The Croatians, who are unbeaten in 10 across all competitions, have kept things tight at the back and will be looking to smother Thun's direct game on Tuesday.
Thun playstyle
Gian-Luca Privitelli's side play a 4-4-2 which is built around direct wing play, long balls and quick second-ball aggression.
They drew their opening home game 1-1 with Elversberg and then lost 1-2 at home to Waldhof Mannheim, which preceded their 1-1 draw with Dinamo.
Thun are not a team to fear, but they can certainly make life tough for Dinamo on Tuesday.
Dinamo should dominate proceedings
Although the tie is finely poised, Dinamo have to be the likelier winners given their form and home advantage, so a game in which the Croatian champions dominate could well be on the cards.
- Miha Zajc is their spark, the creative spark in the 4-2-3-1 who creates chances, breaks the game up and is Dinamo's main threat on the break.
- Thun's live wire is Brighton Labeau, who has also scored 1 goal in 1 Champions League qualification and has hit 2 of Thun's 3 goals across their last 5 games.
Home advantage and form to dictate
A draw in the first leg means that Dinamo know the score they need to qualify and we think that should be enough for them to push on and avoid a shootout.
Dinamo average 1.50 goals scored and 0.75 conceded per home match across all competitions this season, while Thun average 0.67 goals scored and 2.00 conceded away from home.
This is a contest between a possession based side and a direct team, and Dinamo will look to smother any attempted Thun breaks while Thun will be on the hunt for turnovers and scraps in the air, so a tight game could ensue.
Under 2.5 goals at 2.07 and BTTS-No at 1.75 both fit the Dinamo-led script here, although the 1-1 draw in the first leg keeps the tie hanging by a thread. Dinamo are the clear favorites with Thun in poor away form, but we can still find good value in the Under 2.5 goals bet.
