- VfB Stuttgart have won three of the last four meetings between these clubs, Hamburger SV have won just one with none drawn.
- Stuttgart have lost their opening two away league games in Bundesliga 2026/2027 and have only scored two goals on the road so far.
- Hamburger SV have won their last two home games, while Stuttgart have lost their opening away Bundesliga 2026/2027 game.
Hamburg are on a roll
Merlin Polzin has got the best out of Hamburger SV so far in his short time at the club, since taking over on 25 November 2024.
The 2-1 Bundesliga win at 1. FC Köln and 2-0 friendly win over FC Copenhagen, last weekend, have put Die Rothosen on a two-match winning streak and will have given the club some momentum.
Their 3-4-2-1 is designed to keep things tight and controlled, but the wing-backs and half-space creators, such as Albert Groenbaek, can get forward in bursts.
Hamburger SV are already under pressure in the Bundesliga 2026/2027 table, sitting 16th on three points from their first four matches, so they won't be daunted by the visit of Stuttgart on Saturday.
Stuttgart are still finding their feet
VfB Stuttgart are 15th, also on three points after four matches, so this basement battle has already begun in earnest.
Sebastian Hoeness' side have made some strides forward since he took over in April 2023, moulding Stuttgart into a high-pressing, vertical, quick-transition team.
They are still a work in progress, however, and can still get caught out by good teams, as they were when losing 0-1 to Borussia Dortmund in their last Bundesliga 2026/2027 outing.
Stuttgart followed that up with a 5-0 friendly win over Greuther Fürth, so they will enter the game in positive spirits.
Josha Vagnoman tops Stuttgart's Bundesliga 2026/2027 goalscoring chart with two goals in four games and looks the most likely to score for the visitors on Saturday.
Visitors can take the spoils
VfB Stuttgart have won the majority of the recent meetings between these two clubs, including a 4-0 mauling of HSV in the Bundesliga 2025/2026 campaign.
Stuttgart's pressing, rotation and tempo should ensure this becomes a high-tempo tactical battle if they get it right early on.
Hamburger SV's home record in Bundesliga 2026/2027 is one win and one loss, but they have averaged 1.00 goals per game for and 3.00 goals per game against.
Stuttgart have lost both away games this season, but their record against Hamburg in recent years suggests they can take the points.
Stuttgart are 9/10 favourites, which seems high for a side that has lost their only two away games to date, while Hamburger SV and the draw are 309/100, so we are going for the slight edge that the visitors have in this head-to-head.
Over 2.5 goals at 17/50 also appeals in this game, given both teams to score is being heavily backed at 7/20.
