- Recent form: HSV have won their last 2 home games, but Stuttgart have won 3 of the last 4 head-to-heads.
- Away form: Stuttgart have lost their only recent away match and scored just 2 away goals in the Bundesliga 2026/2027.
- Home stats: HSV have conceded 3.00 goals per home game and scored just 1.00 in the Bundesliga 2026/2027.
A tight basement battle
Hamburger SV have recorded consecutive wins in all competitions after they beat 1. FC Köln 2-1 in the Bundesliga followed up by a 2-0 friendly victory against FC Copenhagen. Die Rothosen sit 16th in the Bundesliga 2026-2027 table on 3 points from 4 games, so they need to get some points on the board this weekend.
VfB Stuttgart have won 3 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches, which saw them follow up a 0-1 Bundesliga defeat to Borussia Dortmund with a 5-0 victory against Greuther Fürth in a friendly matchup. They sit 15th in the Bundesliga 2026-2027 with 3 points from 4 matches, so there's likely to be a lot of tension for this bottom-half table matchup.
Stuttgart have had the upper hand in this fixture in recent times, they won 3 of the last 4 meetings between the sides and HSV only took a solitary win from the other. There has never been a draw, so we think this will go the way of the visitors at a shade of odds on.
A pressing contest
Tactical approaches
Merlin Polzin has overseen HSV since the 25th of November 2024 and in that time he has drilled up a back three shape that always stays compact first and then attack in bursts when they have the ball. This is the opposite to Sebastian Hoeness' Stuttgart style, who have been a high-pressing, vertical, quick-transition type of side since he arrived in April 2023.
Players and attacking form
Stuttgart's attacking record on the road is poor but HSV have struggled to score and concede a lot at home, so we feel that over 2.5 goals at 1.34 fits the matchup nicely and both teams to score is also priced at 1.35.
We're going for VfB Stuttgart to edge this one as they have had the better of this fixture recently and they bring the better attacking threat to the field at the Volksparkstadion on Saturday.
- Josha Vagnoman is the top scorer for Stuttgart in the Bundesliga 2026-2027 with 2 goals from 4 games and looks to be timing his runs from wingback well so far, but Ermedin Demirovic has 4 of their last 13 goals across their last 5 and is the most likely to pinch a goal on Saturday.
- Nicolas Capaldo has 1 Bundesliga goal in 4 games for HSV, which is more than any other player, so he can give his side a rare cutting edge in midfield with his runs.
