- IF Vestri have lost their last five consecutive matches.
- Rīgas Futbola Skola have won their last four consecutive matches, including the 4-1 away win over IF Vestri in UEFA Conference League Qualification 2026.
- Rīgas Futbola Skola have won four of their five away games in all competitions.
No need for an RFS runaway victory on Thursday
Rīgas Futbola Skola are a clear favourite for Thursday's UEFA Conference League Qualification 2026 clash with IF Vestri at 11/50, but the draw at 29/5 looks very tempting for what should be a nervy affair in Iceland.
And whilst we do believe that an RFS win is the most likely result on the Valbjarnarvoellur, the Latvians can get it done without the need for a shootout. With Vestri losing five straight, it's very difficult to make a case for the home side here.
Daniel Osafo-Badu's men have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten across all competitions and there is no way of disguising that as anything other than a woeful run.
Vestri will sit deep in a compact 4-4-1-1 and look to break quickly, while Viktors Morozs' possession-minded 4-3-3/4-2-3-1 RFS side will press the ball and squeeze the space to try to suffocate the home team.
Latvians can land the blows
This looks a classic possession vs low-block underdog setup that could be controlled by RFS if they can put the hosts in their pocket. And the visitors have already got the measure of IF Vestri after their 4-1 win, while they also took a 1-0 away win at FK Jelgava in their first league game of the new campaign and then beat Glentoran 2-0 at home last Saturday.
RFS have won eight, drawn one and lost one of their last ten, so they're clearly on a hot streak right now and their 4-1 success over Vestri means they are already the dominant team in this tie.
Chriss-Albin Moerfelt is Vestri's most prolific player with just one UEFA Conference League Qualification 2026 goal, so he's their best bet to get a chance in transition, while Janis Ikaunieks has two goals in his last three games and is RFS's most dangerous player in the final third.
Draw is most likely outcome
Vestri have scored seven in four home matches across all current competitions, so this will be a tight game. The RFS are right on their tails and are good to get this done on the road, but with draw odds of 29/5, we would rather take the draw and keep the bet in play a little longer. Both Teams To Score - No is 31/50 and Under 2.5 Goals is 3/2, so we believe the goals markets are a little too negative on the away side to take. There's no real pressure on RFS here, who have a strong away record, so they can dominate the contest and keep Vestri at arm's length until they can nick a goal and finish the tie.
