- Dinamo Minsk have won three of their last five games, drawing once and losing once.
- PFC Neftchi Baku have also been on a roll, winning seven of their last ten, drawing one and losing two (W7, D1, L2).
- Dinamo Minsk are averaging 2.40 goals per game and conceding 1.20 across all competitions in 2026, while Neftchi Baku are conceding an average of 1.40 goals per match this year.
Minsk make it look easy
After smashing PFC Neftchi Baku 4-2 in the first leg of this UEFA Conference League Qualification 2026 tie just one day ago, Dinamo Minsk should have plenty to back them up for the second leg at Beroe, Bulgaria.
Azerbaijan's Neftchi Baku are also a decent team and will show some bite, but the fact that they come into the game off the back of a 4-2 thumping will count against them.
Aleksandr Shagoyko has had the Belarusian side playing with bite since taking over as head coach on 3rd January 2026 and they're really coming together now.
Dinamo Minsk have scored 2.40 goals per 90 minutes and conceded 1.20 goals across all competitions in 2026, which suggests they have the edge in the final third but aren't locking the opposition out defensively.
And with Neftchi Baku conceding an average of 1.40 goals per 90 mins in 2026, the Belarusian's front line will fancy another feast.
Neftchi will make this tough
Neftchi Baku have won four of their last five, losing once, but they were beaten 4-2 in that loss just 24 hours ago, so the momentum is certainly with Dinamo Minsk.
Yuri Vernydub has brought structure and experience to Neftchi Baku since he took charge on 9th December 2025, with the side now setting up in a compact 3-4-2-1 or 4-2-3-1 shape and leaning on compact blocks and controlled transitions.
The Baku club could make this a bit of a chess match if they hold their shape well and soak up pressure, but the more likely scenario is that Dinamo Minsk's high pressing and fast vertical breaks does the damage.
Backing both teams to score at 11/20 appeals because this could be a similar goal-laden affair to the first-leg and over 2.5 goals at 31/50 also looks solid.
Dinamo Minsk are the sharper side in UEFA Conference League qualifying and make favourites at 59/50, but we're taking Neftchi to make them work for the victory at 213/100 as this may not be a walkover, even after Dinamo Minsk's 4-2 first-leg victory.
