- The New Saints FC have won 6 and lost 4 of their last 10 in all competitions.
- Flora Tallinn have not lost in five away games across all competitions, winning four times and drawing once. In these matches, they've conceded just four goals.
- The New Saints FC have played four home games in all competitions this season, winning two and losing two.
Flora to secure advantage
Flora Tallinn lead the way in their head-to-head with The New Saints FC after beating them 1-0 in the UEFA Conference League Qualification 2026 last week, and this should be another cagey contest at Park Hall Stadium on Thursday.
The New Saints, who have lost three consecutive games ahead of this fixture, are the slight favourites at 21/25, but Flora are available at 157/50 and the draw at 14/5, suggesting the market expects a close match.
Craig Harrison's side have been in poor form, losing 2-1 at home to Sabah FK in UEFA Champions League Qualification 2026 before the 1-0 defeat to Flora last week. The TNS boss has done a good job since taking the reins in August 2022 and has turned The New Saints into a direct, transition-heavy side who look for turnovers and attack quickly through the wide channels when they can.
Flora, on the other hand, have a more European style with Konstantin Vassiljev orchestrating play and dictating the pace in the middle of the park. With a pivot and full-backs who like to stretch the pitch, they can dominate possession and make you chase the ball.
No goals, no value
Under 2.5 goals at 93/100 and Both Teams To Score - No at 1/1 look solid options for this one based on the stylistic mismatch in play.
The New Saints have been heavily reliant on Ryan Brobbel for goals recently, having scored two of their four in the last five games, while Flora have a similar problem with Tony Varjund leading the line with three in the same period as the team scored nine.
Backing the visitors to advance in the tie looks the way to go as they have been in great form on their travels, going five without defeat with four wins and a draw away. Remo Valdmets also gives them an extra spark in the final third, having scored on his only UEFA Conference League Qualification 2026 appearance to date.
The Estonians are a little inconsistent, however, and will need to get the job done on Thursday as their overall form of 5-1-4 in the last ten in all competitions suggests they are more susceptible to defeat than their away form indicates.
