- Philadelphia have drawn their last 3 home games in all competitions, but have failed to win any.
- New York Red Bulls have been a better away side in all competitions, averaging 1.50 goals per game on the road and scoring six away from home.
- New York Red Bulls have been more solid, winning three, drawing one and losing just one of their last five.
Two clubs on the mend meet in I-95 rivalry game
Philadelphia Union enter their MLS 2026 clash with New York Red Bulls on a wobbly run of 1 win, 4 draws and 5 defeats in their last ten in all competitions. New York Red Bulls come off a better streak of three wins, a draw and a defeat in their past five, but they still have the trademark Red Bull chaos.
They beat Columbus Crew 2-0 at home, lost by a single goal to New York City FC at home and then beat Sporting Kansas City 1-0 on the road. Sekagya has been Red Bulls coach since 2 July 2022, but the gameplan has remained the same - to press high up the pitch, win the ball and get on the front foot in transition.
Philadelphia's gameplan is not that different in truth - a proactive press, a structured set-up and the ability to hurt opponents on the counter. The difference is that Ryan Richter's team - he took over on 27 May 2026 - look to be still bedding in.
Back the hosts to nick it
The odds make Philadelphia the clear favourites here at 3/4 compared to New York Red Bulls at 351/100 and the draw at 161/50, but we feel the hosts should nick it on the night in what should be a tight game.
Philadelphia's main danger man has been Milan Iloski - he has seven goals in 15 MLS 2026 appearances and he has been red-hot for the Union in 2026, scoring five of their eight goals across their previous five games.
However, we're going to take the value on Philadelphia to win and under 2.5 goals here because the Union have been very poor on home soil, averaging 0.33 goals in their three home games in all competitions, scoring just once. New York Red Bulls can travel and have won two of their four away matches in all competitions, but they have also lost the other two. The Red Bulls are also guilty of leaving the door open when they try to control games and the side that is better able to control second balls and build-up pressure will edge the win in what should be a pressing battle at Subaru Park on Wednesday.
