- Chivas have won the last 3 head-to-heads and hammered Puebla 5-0 in Liga MX 2025/2026.
- Chivas are 18th with 0 points from 1 game while Puebla are 9th with 3 from 2 in Liga MX 2026/2027.
- Puebla have won 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 matches.
Chivas are the value in a tight match
Puebla have won their away match in Liga MX 2026/2027 - the 1-0 victory over FC Juarez - but their overall form coming into Saturday's clash with CD Chivas de Guadalajara is mixed to poor. Gerardo Espinoza's side also lost 1-0 to Cruz Azul in their second away fixture of the season.
Puebla are one of the most organised sides in the league right now and, with their compactness, Espinoza has created a team capable of springing forward quickly from a low block. Alberto Herrera has been their creative spark, providing two assists in two games to lead the league for that particular statistic.
Chivas are in poor touch, however, so the value for this clash has to lie with the visiting side. Guadalajara have won one, drawn one and lost three of their last five matches and lost their last two in a row. Gabriel Milito's side have won none, drawn once and lost one of their recent away games, so any road edge in this matchup is far from bulletproof.
Visitors have a history of getting the better of Puebla
Despite all this, the visitors will be the clear favourites when the two sides meet at Estadio Cuahutehmoc on Saturday, quoted at 49/50, compared to Puebla's 27/10 and the 51/20 draw. This is perhaps a little harsh on the hosts, who can stay in the game and perhaps edge it if they get a good day in the office.
Santiago Sandoval, who has scored three of Chivas' last six goals in five games, is their best chance of an anytime goalscorer, while the likes of Fernando Monarrez, who has one in two for Puebla, can make their mark.
Three straight wins for Chivas in this fixture, however, makes them the team to get behind as the likeliest outcome is for the away side to nick it. Gabriel Milito has instilled a possession-based identity upon the side since taking charge in May 2025 with patient build-up play, width from wide areas and the balls won in coordinated pressing. Under 2.5 goals looks good at 47/50 as this could be a cagey affair, while BTTS-Yes at 17/25 should also appeal as Puebla's structure should keep it close enough for this to be a nervy affair.
