- Chivas have won the last 3 head-to-heads, hammering Puebla 5-0 in the Liga MX 2025/2026 season three months ago.
- Puebla are 9th in the Liga MX 2026/2027 standings with 3 points from 2 matches, while Chivas are 18th with 0 points from 1 game.
- Puebla average 0.5 goals per match across their last 5 head-to-heads at Estadio Cuahutehmoc, Mexico, with Chivas averaging 1.0 goals per game on the road in that sequence.
Puebla’s home form will be a concern ahead of Chivas clash
A 1-0 away victory at FC Juarez kicked off Puebla's Liga MX 2026/2027 campaign back in July, but their 1-0 defeat to Cruz Azul last time out shows just how much work still lies ahead for Gerardo Espinoza's side.
Espinoza only took the hot seat in July 2026, but he's moulding a compact, well organised unit which are capable of sitting deep and hitting on the counter. They're not there yet, but the spine of the team should be set with some fresh attacking talent arriving.
Alberto Herrera has been their creative spark in Liga MX 2026/2027, registering two assists in two games, while Fernando Monarrez is the current top scorer with one goal in two matches. This isn't a team that will play to its maximum, but it is a team which should have a plan and a way to hurt the opposition when the opportunities arise.
Visitors have an away-day jinx
Chivas have owned this fixture in recent times, but they will face a sterner test against Puebla this time around. They've won their last three meetings with La Franja, including a 5-0 win in the corresponding fixture in the Liga MX 2025/2026, but they look less likely to have this in the bag on Saturday.
Gabriel Milito has installed a more patient, possession-based ethos since coming to the club in May 2025, with wide-ranging full backs and coordinated high pressing to win the ball back high up the pitch. However, the results don't lie, with Chivas in poor touch with just one win, one draw and three defeats from their last five.
They have suffered two defeats in a row, while they have just 0 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 2 away games, suggesting they won't be as strong on the road as the odds suggest.
Chivas to edge it
The odds here make no sense, with 1.98 favourites Chivas sitting well ahead of the home side at 3.7 and the draw at 3.55. Puebla's form is mixed to poor, with one win and four defeats across their last five matches, and the hosts are winless in one home game.
That's why the visitors should have enough to edge a win here, but we also think Puebla can keep this one close enough to keep the punters on the edge of their seats. BTTS-Yes is our main selection at 1.68, but the Under 2.5 goals market at 1.94 is also a solid option, suggesting this will be a cagey affair.
