- Head-to-head: Chivas have dominated the recent head-to-head with 3 wins in a row, including a 5-0 victory over Puebla in Liga MX 2025/2026.
- Away form: Chivas have struggled away from home with 0 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat from their last 2 matches on the road.
- Home form: Puebla have been poor at home with 0 wins in their last 1 match at Estadio Cuahutehmoc, Mexico.
Chivas are the clear favourite at 1.98
Puebla currently sit in 9th place in Liga MX 2026/2027 after 2 matches, taking 3 points from a possible 6, whilst CD Chivas de Guadalajara are bottom of the table in 18th place with 0 points from their opening game. Puebla are priced at 3.7 and the draw at 3.55 for Saturday's game, but the Chivas are the strong favorites here at 1.98.
Puebla arrive into this game off the back of an away win at FC Juarez in the opening match of Liga MX 2026/2027 (1-0) but followed it up with an away defeat to Cruz Azul (1-0) last weekend. Alberto Herrera has been the creative spark for Puebla in the league, having 2 assists in 2 games, whilst Fernando Monarrez leads the line with 1 goal in 2 games.
Chivas have been in poor form in recent weeks, with just 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 5 games, including 2 defeats in a row. Santiago Sandoval has been their main end product in their most recent 5-game run, scoring 3 of their 6 goals.
Back Chivas to snag the win
Recent meetings:
Chivas have owned this matchup in recent years, beating Puebla in each of the last 3 meetings, including a 5-0 thrashing just 3 months ago in Liga MX 2025/2026. Chivas have averaged 1.0 away goals per game in this fixture, whilst Puebla have averaged just 0.5 goals in the 5 meetings at Estadio Cuahutehmoc, with the visitors usually having more of the ball and edge to this one.
Tactical outlook:
Chivas have played with a possession-first identity since Gabriel Milito took over in May 2025, building up patiently, stretching the play with the wide players and pressing in numbers to win the ball high up the field. Gerardo Espinoza, who took over as Puebla boss in July 2026, has gone the other way, shaping a team built to stay compact and disciplined in the back third and hit on the counter attack in numbers.
Our take:
With the odds heavily on Chivas and given the lack of recent success that Puebla have enjoyed in this game, we are happy to take the visitors at 1.98 here. This looks like it could be a chess match in which Chivas should see more of the ball, but Puebla are structured and disciplined enough to keep it tight and make this nervy for their more talented opponents.
The BTTS-Yes market makes sense
- The BTTS-Yes at 1.68 makes plenty of sense for this one, as we can see both sides getting moments to grab a goal in this match.
- The Under 2.5 goals at 1.94 also appeals as this is likely to be a tight and tense game.
