- Venezia are winless at home in Serie A 2026/2027 (D0 L3).
- Napoli are steady on the road in Serie A 2026/2027, going 1-1-1 and conceding 4 goals.
Opposing Napoli has become less easy
Venezia and Napoli have not yet found their feet in the new Serie A 2026/2027 season, sitting 20th and 9th with 0 and 7 points from 5 games, respectively. However, there is a clear disparity between the odds of the two sides on Saturday - the Partenopei are 1.7 to win at the Stadio Pierluigi Penzo, while the hosts are 4.6 and the draw is 3.8.
This is not a fixture where a simple look at the table is enough to guide us to a correct score prediction, as the last two head-to-heads were close and tense, with Napoli winning one and drawing the other at this venue back in Serie A 2024/2025. Venezia won't have much more chance on Saturday, especially as they have been unable to beat Napoli in their last meeting, but Giovanni Stroppa can at least claim that his men should make a decent game of it.
The Venezia boss has set his men up in a compact back three in Serie A 2026/2027, with aggressive half-space overloads and wide crossing patterns. This should test the shape of Napoli more than in years gone by, but Allegri's disciplined block could blunt the hosts if the game stays patient. The ex-Juventus boss has added a more pragmatic edge to this Napoli team, which looks to be a structure-first side with a lower pressing profile.
Backing an away win with goals
Venezia's recent form is brutal - five straight defeats and zero wins, draws or momentum to speak of. Since they last faced Napoli at this ground in Serie A 2024/2025, they have lost 3-2 at Frosinone, 2-4 at home to Fiorentina and 0-2 to Lazio in their own patch. Napoli's last two results were a 1-0 win at home to Bologna and a 1-1 draw away to Fiorentina.
Akor Adams has been Venezia's main finisher in Serie A 2026/2027, notching 1 goal in 5 appearances. He'll need to be on form if the arancioneroverdi are to find the net against Napoli on Saturday. The hosts need a hero in the final third, as Gianluca Busio has been their creative spark, but he is more a provider than scorer, laying on 2 Serie A 2026/2027 assists in 4 appearances. Richie Sagrado has chipped in with 2 of their 5 goals across the last 5 games, so he is the one man that gives the home side a recent edge in the goals area.
Backing Napoli to win and both teams to score is the safest play in this game, as Allegri's men are the clear favourite to gain the win and have shown themselves to be more patient than their opponents. However, Napoli's recent results are 1-1-3 across all competitions, so they are not exactly dominating teams right now and Venezia may get lucky.
Over 2.5 goals at 1.7 and Both Teams to Score - Yes at 1.7 look like decent options for a lively affair, while the draw at 3.8 is also worth a small punt as Napoli seek to shake off their last few weeks.
