- AC Milan are unbeaten away in Serie A 2026/2027, picking up 1 win and 3 draws after 4 road games.
- Udinese Calcio have taken 1 draw and 3 defeats from 4 Serie A 2026/2027 home matches.
- Udinese Calcio have failed to win any of their last 3 home Serie A games against AC Milan.
Rossoneri a rock on the road
Udinese (17th, 4 points from 7 games) will be looking to end their run of two successive defeats when they host AC Milan (4th, 15 points) at the Bluenergy Stadium - Stadio Friuli on Sunday afternoon.
Le Zebrette come into the match off the back of a 0-3 home defeat to Lecce followed by a 2-1 loss away at Torino and have had little to crow about in the final third in Serie A 2026/2027 so far.
Kosta Runjaic has Udinese set up in a back-three system with wing-backs and they tend to play vertically when they have the ball. The strategy, which is to play direct and try to punch above their weight at set pieces, has seen them score just twice at home in the league and average a blunt 0.50 goals per game.
They can't trust that any of the players will finish in the box and so the burden of creating opportunities falls on the players who can pick out a pass or deliver a pinpoint cross.
Jurgen Ekkelenkamp has scored two of Udinese's four goals in their last five matches and he is now carrying a big chunk of their final-third threat.
Hassane Kamara leads Udinese's scoring chart in Serie A 2026/2027 with two goals and gives them one of their few reliable finishers.
Udinese could make this tough
But the Rossoneri have been in fine form, winning three of their last five (1 draw and 1 defeat) and will be a tough test for Runjaic's side.
Ruben Amorim has Milan playing a fluid 3-4-2-1 or 3-4-3 depending on the game, a system built on possession football, high pressing and making a quick transition through the half-spaces.
Diego Moreira is Milan's leading scorer in Serie A 2026/2027 with three goals from three appearances and he has three of the Rossoneri's ten goals in their last five games.
Milan's away record of five goals conceded (1.25 per game) suggests they are open to being got at despite their superiority in possession.
The visitors' recent form is strong and the two sides' league positions suggest they are clear favourites at 1.87 with Udinese and the draw at 3.9 and 3.6 respectively.
We'll back the visitors to win as they have the better record against Udinese and lost 0-3 in the last meeting in Milan, although the Zebrette did pull off a 3-0 upset in Milan.
Under 2.5 goals at 1.87 looks a solid alternative market, particularly if the hosts can do what they have in previous encounters and clog the pitch.
