- Atlanta United have averaged 2.00 goals scored and 1.33 goals conceded per home game across all competitions.
- Sporting Kansas City have averaged 0.80 goals scored and 3.20 goals conceded per away game across all competitions.
Five Stripes set to edge it against Wizards
Atlanta United (1.73) are the favourites for Sunday's MLS 2026 clash with Sporting Kansas City (4.0), who are in the middle of a run of three consecutive defeats, although the 4.1 available on the draw is too big to ignore.
The Five Stripes have endured a shaky run of two wins, two draws and six defeats across their last ten games in all competitions, but the hosts have home advantage for this clash and should arrive in a positive mood after recording a victory in front of their own fans yesterday.
Jack Collison has been Atlanta United's head coach since June 2021 and has been gradually getting the best out of a talented squad that has been built to play a possession-first, high-press style of football. His decision to change to a three-at-the-back system has added width through the wingbacks and tightened up their shape, so the hosts will look dangerous in transition.
Dejan could be decisive
The Wizards have one win and four defeats in their last five in all competitions, a run that has taken them on a downward trend since the start of the month. Raphael Wicky has been Sporting Kansas City's head coach since January 2026 and his build-from-the-back philosophy is a move away from the direct style of his predecessor.
Wicky wants to add some purpose to his side's possession football and Sporting do play a fluid 4-3-3 system that can put teams under pressure with central overloading and aggression. The game should be a real chess match, but the clash of Atlanta's wingback width against Sporting's pressing front three could determine which side owns the midfield.
Dejan Joveljic is clearly their biggest threat, but Sporting Kansas City have scored just four goals in their last five and Joveljic has two of them, so the rest of the team will have to chip in to get on the scoresheet.
Both teams to score looks likely
The best odds on this game are with the goal markets, which makes sense given the average goals per game stats for each team. Over 2.5 goals at 1.48 and Both Teams to Score - Yes at 1.48 are both worth backing, although our preference is for the home win with both teams to score option.
Atlanta United have won two and lost one of their last three at home and after defeats away to New England Revolution and Philadelphia Union, they returned to winning ways at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Sporting Kansas City have lost their last three - all defeats to nil - and are winless in three away games (D0, L3).
The Five Stripes have a slight edge on their own turf and the Wizards have struggled on the road recently, so a home win with both teams to score is our selection, although the visitors' pressing style should keep it close.
