- Liverpool are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (W2, D3), including their last 2 away games in the Premier League 2026/2027 (W1, D1).
- Bournemouth are mixed in their last 5 games (W1, D3, L1), including their last 2 home games in the Premier League 2026/2027 (D2).
- Over 2.5 match goals & BTTS (both teams to score) should land in this game as Bournemouth score/ concede 1.50 goals per game on average at home and Liverpool average 2.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded on the road.
An open, edgy affair is expected at the Vitality Stadium
Bournemouth's latest 2 results, a 4-0 win over League One side Lincoln City in the EFL Cup followed by a 2-2 draw with Brentford in the Premier League 2026/2027, suggest this will be an open and entertaining fixture.
Marco Rose has brought a similarly high-intensity gegenpressing system to Bournemouth, while Andoni Iraola has installed a similarly aggressive pressing game at Liverpool.
Evanilson has been the Cherries' creative spark in the Premier League 2026/2027 with 3 assists in 4 games and they have the cut-through. However, Marcus Tavernier is the main goal threat for the hosts with 3 goals in the league already, and he has scored 3 of their last 9 in all competitions.
Liverpool can just nick it
Liverpool's last 2 results, a 2-1 UEFA Champions League win over Atletico Madrid and a 0-0 draw at Fulham in the league, tell you everything you need to know about how they play under Iraola. They have bite and they can dig in, and Cody Gakpo has provided 3 assists already, and Alexander Isak, who has bagged 3 of their goals in the league.
Liverpool look the likelier winner in this fixture as they have 6 points from 4 games and sit 7th in the table compared to Bournemouth's 15th place with 3 points from 4. But as the Cherries are yet to lose at home in this campaign, albeit with 2 draws from 2 games, this could still be a close contest.
Liverpool are 2.12 favourites for this one which seems a little short considering Bournemouth are 3.0 and the draw is 3.75, so we're backing the visitors at those prices. The last two head-to-head meetings are split 1-1, with Bournemouth beating the Reds 3-2 here in the Premier League 2025/2026, but Liverpool have won 2 of their last 3 visits to the south coast, so they know how to do the job here.
Over 2.5 match goals & BTTS looks a good play at 1.45 for this contest, but there will be tension here and both teams to score at 1.4 looks good, too.
