- Spurs are the slight favourites at 1.97, but the draw at 3.55 and Aston Villa at 3.55 offer more value in this match-up.
- This looks like a bottom of the table battle with Spurs 18th on 1 point after 3 games and Aston Villa 19th on 1 point after 4.
- Spurs have averaged 2.5 goals per game across the last 5 head-to-heads at this venue, while Aston Villa have scored at a rate of 1.5 per game.
Spoils could be shared at Spurs
Aston Villa can be a really hard team to play against these days, even if their results don't currently reflect their new identity. Unai Emery took the reins on 1st November 2022, and he has been able to implement his own style of structured pressing and ruthless transition play on these Villans.
The Villans struck a big blow in midweek with their 3-2 win away at Club Brugge KV in the UEFA Champions League League Stage 2026/2027, but they were knocked for a six when they returned to their Premier League 2026/2027 responsibilities and fell to a 1-2 defeat at home to Nottingham Forest on Thursday. In fairness, they had a number of good chances in that game, but they can't keep missing like that.
Roberto De Zerbi's Tottenham Hotspur have had a similar issue, but they have more options in the final third and have been much sharper since the Italian took the helm on 31st March 2026. The Spurs boss has encouraged his team to be more patient in build-up, but to accept risks and play one-vs-ones in the attacking third.
Both sides have been in woeful form
That was evident in their 5-1 home win over Charlton Athletic in the EFL Cup 2026/2027, but they were brought crashing back down to earth in their 0-2 defeat at home to Newcastle in the Premier League.
So, this is a bit of a chess match with two differing styles of play looking to win the day. Spurs want to dominate and control, but Villa will look to pounce on loose touches and hit on the counter with pace and directness.
The value is with the away side, but we're going to edge towards the hosts here as they have more to recommend them at the odds and have a slightly better punch in this fixture. Spurs nicked the last meeting 2-1 away from home four months ago and the head-to-head is split 1-1 over the last 2 clashes, so we're backing the spoils to be shared in London.
Over 2.5 goals at 1.77 also fits the bill here as these two sides will look to get on the front foot, while both teams to score at 1.65 looks good as Villa have been quite blunt in the Premier League 2026/2027, notching up zero goals in two away games to date and yet to record an away win. John McGinn has been the main spark for the Villans, scoring two of their six goals in their last five games.
