- Dinamo Tbilisi have won three games in a row and seem to have found some momentum since Temuri Ketsbaia returned as head coach.
- US Mondorf-Les-bains have been tough to beat recently with five wins, three draws and two defeats in their last 10 across all competitions.
- The odds reflect Dinamo's superiority at 1.4 with Mondorf-Les-bains at 7.5 and the draw at 4.35.
Dinamo have the edge after first-leg win
Dinamo Tbilisi should see off US Mondorf-Les-bains in the second leg of this UEFA Conference League Qualification 2026 fixture at Boris Paichadze Dinamo Arena, Georgia, on Thursday but the visitors will make them work for the victory.
The Georgian side won the first leg 2-1 away from home two days ago and come into the match on the back of some improved form with seven wins and just two defeats from their last 10 in all competitions. Dinamo also won their next two games after that result - a 5-3 thriller over FC Samgurali Tskaltubo and a 2-1 win over FC Dinamo Batumi in the Erovnuli Liga 2026.
Temuri Ketsbaia took over as head coach of Dinamo on 24 April 2026 and has brought a new discipline to the side with a more organised, even pragmatic, European edge to their play. Dinamo usually set up in a 4-2-3-1 formation, controlling possession and probing patiently before springing vertical attacks when the opposition is out of position.
Algassime Bah leads Dinamo's scoring in this competition with one goal in one game and is the team's sharpest edge in the attacking third, while Hatim Far has looked Mondorf's best outlet in the same competition with his goal in the one game played.
Mondorf’s resilience should keep it close
Martin Forkel took over US Mondorf-Les-bains on 1 July 2026 and has seemingly drilled his players well, making them compact and hard to break down. They set up in a low-to-mid block in the first game and seemed to be set up for a smash-and-grab goal.
The match seems to set up as possession versus smash-and-grab. A Dinamo win looks a safe play in the main bet, but there is a chance that Mondorf can keep the margin down in the early stages if they keep disciplined and the goals are likely to be low if they do.
A Dinamo victory with under 3.5 goals looks a sensible alternative angle to take for the main selection as the home edge is a factor and Mondorf are set up for counter-attacks. The Luxembourgers have a tough away record in all competitions with one win, two draws and one defeat in their last four away. They have scored just three goals in those four and we're expecting them to be disciplined here.
