- Decic Tuzi have lost their last five games, which is not good preparation for this European encounter.
- Liepaja are scoring just 0.60 goals per away game on average and conceding 2.40, so don't expect goals galore.
- Liepaja have been in slightly better form of late, winning two and losing three of their last five in all competitions.
Liepaja look to exploit the gap
Having beaten FK Decic Tuzi 1-0 in the first-leg of their UEFA Conference League qualification 2026 tie three days ago, FK Liepaja now hold a slender but significant advantage in this two-legged encounter.
The clash of styles should make this a fascinating encounter on Wednesday as the hosts are a more compact side, who have been built by their coach Ivan Brnovic to defend centrally, press selectively and hit in transition.
Liepaja have the pace and power to spread the play from wide forwards and overlapping full-backs, trying to stretch teams and forcing turnovers high up the field.
Brnovic has been in charge of Decic Tuzi since 1 July 2026, but Vladimir Vassiljev only took over Liepaja on 1 June 2026 and has moulded them into a very different type of team in just a couple of months.
It will be interesting to see who comes out on top in this tactical chess match, but with the odds of 2.55 for the visitors at the time of writing - with Decic at 2.5 and the draw at 3.5 - it is hard to argue against them nicking it for a second week in a row.
Decic have lost their way
A more interesting angle is perhaps found in the under 2.5 goals market as this looks like a tie that will be decided by the narrowest of margins.
Decic's last 10 games in all competitions is a brutal read - two wins, two draws and six defeats. Liepaja's record across the same number of games is only marginally better with four wins, one draw and five defeats, so both have issues in defence.
Decic's home record is two wins, one draw and two defeats in all competitions - while Liepaja's away form is just as bad. They have not won any of their five away matches, registering one draw and four defeats.
A glance at the home and away stats for both teams tells you they don't score or concede enough goals for this to be a goal-fest, so we're with the under 2.5 line here.
Liepaja have sharp edge
Ede Oloko is Liepaja's top scorer in the UEFA Conference League Qualification 2026 with one goal in one game, so he is the sharp end of the attack. Fellow forward Fellipe Vieira has been in form recently, scoring two goals in Liepaja's last five matches and helping his team to put six in the back of the net in that spell.
