- Bohemians have won 7 of their last 10 (8 wins from St. Josephs' last 10) across all competitions.
- St. Josephs are on a 2-game losing streak, losing 0-1 at home to Lynx FC and 0-2 to Bohemians in the UEFA Conference League Qualification 2026 last week.
- Bohemians have won 4 of their 5 away fixtures across all competitions, conceding 1.40 goals per away game.
Bohemians hold the aces
This will be a tough game for Bohemians to finish off but they should be able to get the job done on Thursday. Javi Munoz has his St. Josephs side set up in a disciplined 4-3-3, designed to keep things compact, sit deep and spring counters. But Alan Reynolds has his side set up from a 4-2-3-1 base, looking to keep the ball moving at a controlled tempo, rotate their wide players and look to find gaps in teams using possession and set pieces.
This fixture is essentially structure-versus-control, with Bohemians looking to pull apart the low block of St. Josephs and St. Josephs looking to pounce on any turnovers that they can create. St. Josephs FC are priced at 8.0 with the draw coming in at 4.6, however Bohemian FC Dublin are the clear favourites at 1.35, which is far too short in this instance.
Bohemians have the edge
The hosts are a useful side and have 3 wins and 1 loss from 4 games at home across all competitions, but they have only been able to score 5.00 goals per home game at Europa Sports Park and concede just 0.25 per game. Bohemians have won 4 of their 5 games on the road, conceding 1.40 goals per game.
Bohemians have won 7 of their last 10 across all competitions and will be looking to make it 4 wins in a row after victories away to Drogheda United and St. Josephs in recent games. Connor Parsons has given them a real edge up top with 1 goal in 1 appearance in the UEFA Conference League Qualification 2026, and the Gypsy side should have the better of the play.
Backing the Gypsies to win to nil makes sense given the shape this tie is likely to take with St. Josephs happy to sit back and hope for the odd counter attack.
