- Levadia Tallinn are 1.23 favourites to beat Caernarfon Town FC, who are 9.5, while the draw is 5.75.
- The Estonians have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 and are currently on a 2 game winning streak.
- The Welsh visitors have won 3 and lost 2 of their last 5. They suffered a 0-5 beating in the first leg.
Estonian favourites likely to close the deal
FC Levadia Tallinn are 1.23 favorites to win the UEFA Conference League Qualification 2026 tie against Caernarfon Town FC, and for good reason, they really ought to do just that.
The Estonian outfit absolutely ripped Caernarfon apart 5-0 last week, leaving the visitors a mountain to climb in this 2nd leg at Kadriorg staadion.
The hosts have won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10 in all competitions, while Caernarfon have won 4 and lost 6 of their 10. In their respective home fixtures, Levadia have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 1, and Caernarfon have won 1 and lost 2.
The most likely result on Thursday is another Levadia win, and the odds reflect the hosts as strong favourites to close the series comfortably.
Stylistic clash with an obvious winner
This is a clash of styles, as Levadia boss Vjatseslav Zahovaiko likes his team to play in a 4-3-3 system, dictating possession through the thirds, using short passing, controlling territory and pressing high up.
Meanwhile, Richard Davies' Caernarfon are more of a direct, physical British side, relying on the flanks to get crosses into the box and second balls.
As such, it's unlikely we will see a goal feast and Levadia to win & under 4.5 goals looks a good bet, even if Caernarfon come out and try to make a contest early on.
Caernarfon need a hero
Caernarfon will need their wide men and main playmaker Adrian Cieslewicz to up their game if they are to pull off a miracle comeback. Cieslewicz has 2 of the Lads' 6 goals across the last 5 and has been their spark plug when things have threatened to get a bit dull.
Enock Otoo is Levadia's finisher and has been getting the service, the Ghanaian is their top scorer across the Qualification 2026 with 1 goal in 1 game.
Overall, I think Levadia will get the job done. They have looked good in all departments and have a plan, while Caernarfon have looked shaky at times.
A Levadia win with fewer than 5 goals should be the play.
