- Ballkani are 1.22 to beat a Connah's Quay team priced at 8.5 with the draw at 7.0.
- Connah's Quay have played 5, won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 in their last 5 matches in all competitions.
Ballkani have the quality edge
KF Ballkani are 1.22 to get past a Connah's Quay side that are 8.5 to avoid the upset at Fadil Vokrri Stadium in Kosovo on Thursday, so it would be a good job if John Disney's side can at least make a dogfight out of this UEFA Conference League Qualification 2026 clash.
Mislav Karoglan's team should have enough quality and territorial control to come out on top over the 90 minutes, but the visitors have already shown they can be stubborn and make this a tight tie.
Ballkani look to be built on the same foundations as before, when Karoglan's team were a possession-based side that utilised their full-backs as attackers to stretch the defensive block, overloaded on one side of the pitch, and played their strikers in a rotating front line.
Connah's Quay are low-to-medium block with direct vertical play and set-piece danger, so Disney will look to make this a dogfight.
Connah’s are compact and hard to break down
Connah's Quay are a much better side than many imagined and can be a real pain for the opposition if they keep their shape, which they always have done since John Disney took over on 23 May 2025. They will surely look to keep it tight, and if they can cause a turnover, then Max Woodcock, their main threat, can be a threat, as he has 2 goals in their 5 matches this season.
Ballkani are level in the overall tie, which they may feel they could still claw back if they can get their confidence back on track. They have been unconvincing in Kosovo lately, posting a run of 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats in their last 10 in all competitions and 0 wins and 2 defeats in their last 2 at home.
Ballkani have scored 7 goals at home in their 5 games played in 2026 for a 1.40 per game average, so they may lack the attacking firepower to blow Connah's Quay away and win to nil is a better option than the outright home win at a similar price.
The visitors will be a bit gung-ho in the first half as they try to take the game to Ballkani, but the 0-0 three days ago is an omen that this could remain a cagey contest if Connah's keep their structure. So, the home win with under 3.5 goals will probably be the best match script.
