- Paide Linnameeskond have scored seven goals in their last five away matches in all competitions, an average of 1.40 goals per game on the road.
- Hegelmann are unbeaten at home in their last five (across all competitions) but that includes a string of draws that does not augur well for a positive result in a close match.
- Paide have a better overall record across all competitions in the last ten (W4, D3, L3) than Hegelmann have across all competitions during that period (W2, D5, L3).
A clash of styles at Raudondvario stadionas
Mikel Aramburu's FC Hegelmann Litauen Kaunas set up in a compact low block that is very narrow and has a little bit of bite in the way it tries to counterattack against the ball. The problem is that in the open field, they are not that adventurous and can be susceptible to the counter attack. The main attacking thrust comes from central striker Njoya Kader who has scored two of the team's four goals in the last five matches.
Paide operate in a more balanced system, either 4-2-3-1 or 4-4-2, which makes them more possession-capable than the hosts. They use their width, a double pivot and quicker vertical play to try to break through defensive lines and create a few chances. Their away record in all competitions this season is W2, D2, L1, which suggests they won't travel to Lithuania and sit back.
Paide have an extra edge
The visitors come into this clash in much better form, not having lost any of their last five, with three wins and two draws. Paide beat Flora Tallinn 2-1 on the road, drew 1-1 at Nomme Kalju and beat Parnu JK Vaprus 3-1 at home to set up this European encounter.
Hegelmann are in poor form at the moment, having failed to win any of their last five, with two defeats and three draws. The draw against FK Panevezys was a 1-1 result while the defeat to Banga Gargzdai was 2-0.
The Estonians should be a touch more positive and that extra bit of cutting edge could be what makes the difference here. But Paide are a short 2.05 for the result while the draw is 3.4 and the home side 3.4, so the value is in under 2.5 goals. Hegelmann won't gift them a goal and will try to nick it on a set piece or counter attack.
