- Genoa have lost their only home match in Serie A 2026-2027 so far, but they've lost three of their last 5 overall (W2, D0, L3).
- Como have a road record (W1, D1, L2) in all competitions in 2026-2027.
- Como have scored at least one goal away in one away match in Serie A 2026-2027, while Genoa have already conceded two goals at home.
Genoa have been giving it away
Genoa have started their Serie A 2026-2027 campaign in 17th place with 0 points from one match while Calcio Como are in 10th with one point from one game and, although they are the bookies' favourites, the visitors are our pick to win on Friday.
Como are listed at 1.76 to take the points from this fixture at Stadio Luigi Ferraris while Genoa are 5.0 and the draw is 3.35, but the visitors have a slight edge in the head-to-head market and recent history against the home side.
Como are in Serie A, but they beat Genoa 2-0 in this fixture in April 2026 in their most recent clash, which was in Serie A 2025/2026. Como have remained unbeaten in the last two meetings with Genoa, winning once and drawing once, which should give them some belief in their ability to cause an upset.
Como can be controlled and clinical
Daniele De Rossi has set Genoa up in a 3-4-2-1 which is built around width, fast vertical breaks and an aggressive press to try and win the ball back high up the pitch. Cesc Fàbregas has Como set up to play a more controlled style where they maintain their structure, press selectively and try to control the tempo.
That contrast in styles should make for a tasty midfield battle where the tempo could be dictated by the team that controls the ball better, which is Como.
Genoa have won just one and lost two of their home matches in all competitions in 2026-2027 while Como have recorded 1 win, 1 draw and 2 defeats in the same period (W1, D1, L2).
Lorenzo Colombo and Anastasios Douvikas are key threats
Genoa have had the edge in front of goal so far this season with Lorenzo Colombo hitting three of their seven goals in the past five matches, but Calcio Como have been just as clinical with Anastasios Douvikas getting two of their four goals in the same time frame.
Although Il Grifone are the hosts and lost three of their past five, Calcio Como will be the most likely winners and the most cagey draw could also be a likely result. A smart alternative is to take Under 2.5 goals at 1.62, which fits the game state, and BTTS No at 1.73 is a solid play for the same reason.
