- Freiburg have three wins and one defeat from four home fixtures in the Bundesliga 2026/2027.
- Union Berlin average 0.33 goals per game scored and 4.00 per game conceded across their three away Bundesliga 2026/2027 fixtures (D1, L2).
- Freiburg are the form favourites with three wins and two defeats in their last five fixtures.
Bundesliga 2026/2027 pacesetters Freiburg host Union Berlin
Freiburg currently sit 3rd in the Bundesliga 2026/2027 with 16 points from eight games, while Union are languishing in 16th on seven points after eight. The pressure is on the visitors to come away with the points to pull them clear of the relegation places and into a position of safety.
Freiburg have been in good form with three consecutive wins. They've won their last two games 1-2 away at FC Augsburg and 0-1 away at Trabzonspor, so this momentum is real. They have a real spark in the Bundesliga 2026/2027 in Yuito Suzuki, who leads the scoring with four goals in four matches.
Union have been in mixed form with one win, three draws and one defeat in their last five. They were beaten 5-0 away to 1. FC Köln in the DFB Pokal 2026/2027, following that with a 1-1 draw at home to Köln in the Bundesliga 2026/2027. Tim Skarke has been their sharpest finisher in the Bundesliga 2026/2027 with two goals in four games.
An open game is expected at Europa-Park Stadion
This game is a bit of a stylistic clash as Julian Schuster has Freiburg playing a very compact 4-2-3-1, where they press well but also spread the ball wide with good combinations, while Mauro Lustrinelli has Union in a deeper, more cautious system where they sit deep and play vertical football when they get the ball.
Over 2.5 goals at 1.6 certainly appeals, but both teams to score at 1.67 looks the better bet here as this fixture should be open enough for chances at both ends.
Freiburg are the likelier winners and their home form should prove the difference on the day. The head-to-head record is slightly against this selection, as Union have won three of the last five meetings (D2, L0), but Freiburg have a loss in the Bundesliga 2026/2027 and Die Breisgauer should get the job done at 1.51.
Freiburg have scored 12 goals in their four home Bundesliga 2026/2027 games this season and they should be able to turn the screw here. Union have averaged just 0.33 goals per game and 4.00 conceded per road game in the Bundesliga 2026/2027, so this is a real concern for them in this fixture. Die Eisernen will try to pinch a goal, but Freiburg should have enough to get it done, so a high-scoring home win looks the most natural read of this matchup.
Despite Freiburg's good home form, they failed to win both of their previous two home H2H fixtures, so this is not a free hit for them.
