- Head-to-head: Union have won three of the last five meetings between the teams, with two draws and no Freiburg victories.
- Form: Freiburg are the most in-form team with three wins and two defeats in their last five games, including three consecutive wins.
- Standings: Union are in 16th place in the Bundesliga 2026/2027 standings with seven points from eight games, so it's vital to pull clear of the drop zone as soon as possible.
Freiburg favoured to get the job done
Freiburg form:
SC Freiburg's Bundesliga 2026/2027 start has been much more fruitful than that of their opponents on Sunday, with Julian Schuster's side in third place with 16 points from their first eight games, right in the Champions League race. The Breisgauer have had plenty of positives in the first two months of the season, but their last two results were a 1-2 away win at FC Augsburg and a 0-1 away win at Trabzonspor.
- Freiburg have played their best footy when they have had the ball in the offensive third, where Yuito Suzuki, with four goals in four games, has been their spark.
- The rest of the team has played a compact 4-2-3-1 system where they press the ball high up the field and combine well in the wide areas.
Union form:
1. FC Union Berlin have also been up and down with one win, three draws and one defeat from their last five. But their form has been improving with a 5-0 away loss to 1. FC Köln in the DFB Pokal and a 1-1 home draw with Köln in the Bundesliga.
Union can nick a goal in defeat
Mauro Lustrinelli has set up his team deeper, so they have been more compact in defence, while their forwards have been more of a counterattacking threat.
Tim Skarke has been Union's sharpest finisher in the Bundesliga 2026/2027 with two goals in four appearances, but Janik Haberer has also chipped in with a couple of goals in the last five.
But Union's away form in the Bundesliga 2026/2027 has been a worry with one draw and two defeats from three trips, averaging 0.33 goals scored and 4.00 conceded per match – those numbers are a red flag.
It is hard to go against Union's momentum, but Freiburg are a better team and their home advantage should tell. However, Freiburg have failed to win either of their last two home games against Union Berlin, so this won't be a free hit.