- Atalanta are the favourites to win.
- Atalanta are unbeaten in two head-to-head clashes, but haven't beaten Venezia in Bergamo since 2024/2025.
Atalanta to dictate, Venezia to fight and forage
La Dea are favourites to see off I Lagunari at New Balance Arena on Monday, but Maurizio Sarri's team are not the value that the odds suggest they are at 1.54. Venezia are the underdogs at 5.6 for this Serie A game and are coming off a run of 5 straight defeats in all competitions.
They have lost their last 3 against Frosinone, Fiorentina and Lazio, but as Atalanta's 2-0-1 record in Serie A 2026/2027 would suggest, there are some concerns for La Dea. Sarri has brought a possession-first 4-3-3 to Atalanta, where the play is patient, yet the pressing is selective and focused from the midfielders. This has led to a mixed bag of results, with 2 wins and 3 losses from their last 5 games. Defensively, they have looked solid, but up front, Gianluca Scamacca has been the sharpest edge with 2 of their last 4 goals in the last 5 matches.
Ederson is the Serie A top scorer in the Atalanta squad with 1 goal from 5 games, but the Brazilian has added bite in the middle from deep, while Gianluca Busio has provided 2 assists from midfield in 4 games.
Akor Adams leads the scoring charts for Venezia with 1 goal in 5 Serie A games, while Richie Sagrado has chipped in with 2 goals in their last 5, giving Giovanni Stroppa's side one of the few sparks up front. Stroppa has set his side up in a back-three with the intention of overloading the flanks and controlling as much territory as possible.
Atalanta to take control
Atalanta and Venezia drew 0-0 in Bergamo during Serie A 2024/2025, and we could have a similar stalemate in this game, but more likely the hosts will take the game by the scruff of the neck and grind out a result. An Atalanta win and over 2.5 goals looks the best fit for this Serie A match, while both teams to score should keep Venezia in the game for much of the 90 minutes.
La Dea should have more possession and control as they play through the middle, while Venezia will attempt to stretch the play and pounce on second balls and counter-attacking opportunities down the wings.
