- AC Milan are 4th in Serie A 2026/2027 with 12 points from their opening six games.
- Atalanta Bergamo are 11th in Serie A 2026/2027 with 6 points from their first five.
- Atalanta have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their first 2 away matches in Serie A 2026/2027, scoring 0.50 and conceding 2.00 goals per game on average.
Atalanta are on a bad run
AC Milan enter the latest chapter of Serie A's greatest rivalry fresh from a 3-0 home win over Lecce in Serie A 2026/2027 and a 1-1 draw away to Sassuolo, a solid reaction to a mixed bag of results.
The Rossoneri have won one, drawn three and lost one of their last five matches across all current competitions, so the form is good but not quite clicking.
The club's main man in 2026/2027 has been Diego Moreira, who has scored three of Milan's six goals in that five-match run and gives the team an extra edge at the top end.
Atalanta, meanwhile, are trying to keep up with the pack early on with just 6 points from their 5 matches to date, and they head to San Siro after being dealt three consecutive defeats.
Their last 5 across all competitions has seen La Dea win two and lose three, with their away form particularly disappointing. Atalanta have been beaten 2-1 by AS Roma and 2-0 by Juventus on their travels in Serie A 2026/2027, while they also lost 2-1 at home to Cagliari.
Atalanta can make a game of it
Ederson is Atalanta's top scorer in Serie A 2026/2027 with one goal in five games, but La Dea need more bite around their main man, with Gianluca Scamacca (two goals in five).
Maurizio Sarri's men have employed a more possession-first 4-3-3 than we've seen from them in the past, but they need to be patient in build-up, circulate the ball well and keep their structure in pressing high and low. AC Milan will press hard and Atalanta's more patient approach can give them problems in transition if they play through the pressure.
Atalanta won the last meeting 3-2 away in Serie A 2025/2026 and are unbeaten in their last three trips to Milan, so the momentum isn't with the Rossoneri. However, Ruben Amorim's team are playing a more structured 3-at-the-back with wing-backs and lots of vertical movement, which should see them make more of the pressure they apply.
Milan have the upper hand
AC Milan are 47/50 favourites to beat Atalanta, who are 53/20 and the draw is 13/5, which is pretty generous considering Atalanta have only won 0, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their 2 away games in Serie A 2026/2027.
The home side are unbeaten in two at the San Siro with two wins, scoring 2.50 goals per game and conceding 0.00, and we expect AC Milan to have the edge on Sunday.
Both teams to score at 67/100 appeals in a game that should be liven up if La Dea play their way through pressure, while over 2.5 goals at 4/5 is also attractive in a fixture that should see chances at both ends.
