- Derby have yet to win a home game in the Championship 2026/2027 (D1, L1).
- Birmingham have played 2 away games in the Championship 2026/2027, going unbeaten (W1, D1) and scoring 1.00 away goals per game.
- Birmingham are the narrow favorite for Saturday's game at 59/50, but Derby are 43/20 and the draw is 12/5.
An early season scrap at Pride Park
This game has all the hallmarks of being an early-season, mid-table Championship 2026/2027 clash in that there is not a huge amount of form to go on and there is little to separate the teams in the table.
Derby County are 20th in the Championship 2026/2027 after five games with just four points to their name, meaning the Rams are already scrapping for their lives. Birmingham City are 10th in the Championship 2026/2027 after taking seven points from their first five games, which keeps the Blues in the chasing pack.
Derby have won once, drawn once and lost three times in their last five, which has left John
Eustace's side in a precarious position. The Rams have
tried to mix things up in a 4-2-3-1 formation that has
pressed high and
looked
to make the most
of fast
transitions,
but
too
many
chances
have been
squandered
by
Derby.
The Blues have the edge
Birmingham have shown more consistency so far this season with three draws, one win and one defeat in their last five. The Blues beat Wrexham 2-1 in their first away game, but have followed that up with back-to-back draws at home, 1-1 against Southampton and 2-2 with Wolverhampton.
Both teams like to press high and hit opponents on the counter, so this should be a lively affair with the midfields getting little time on the ball. Derby have struggled to find the back of the net at Pride Park, scoring just twice in their two home games, so an under 2.5 goals bet at 83/100 looks like a tidy bet here if this turns into a tense, low-margin battle.
Birmingham will be very tough to break down as Chris Davies has got his side blending the ball with some good possession football and quick counters, a high press and a clear set-piece advantage.
Birmingham have the advantage
Derby won 1-0 when these sides met in the Championship 2025/2026 and also picked up a 1-0 victory in the last time the teams met at this venue, but Birmingham have started well on the road in this season's Championship 2026/2027 and should edge this.
Sammie Szmodics has given Derby the edge in the final third, with two goals in four Championship 2026/2027 appearances. Bobby Clark has been the creative spark for Derby in midfield, supplying two assists in five Championship 2026/2027 games.
Demarai Gray has been lively for Birmingham, scoring two of the Blues' six goals in their last five matches, but Phil Neumann leads the way in Birmingham's scoring charts with two in five.
