- Derby have scored 1 and conceded 2.50 goals per game at home in the Championship 2026/2027.
- West Bromwich have won 1 of their 2 away games in the Championship 2026/2027, scoring 3 goals.
- Both teams have played cautiously and are set up in a similar way so this should be a tight match.
Two similar teams to meet at Pride Park
Derby County have made a disappointing start to the Championship 2026/2027 and find themselves 16th in the early standings with four points from as many games.
John Eustace has kept things compact and simple with a low-risk 4-4-2 that offers plenty of width and directness so they can win the territory and cause damage on the counter. This isn't necessarily a bad recipe for success, but the Rams haven't yet managed to put one together and win a home game.
Their 2-2 and 0-3 home results against Cardiff and Swansea were followed by a decent 2-0 victory away to Portsmouth, but it's still fair to say Derby are struggling for form with one win, one draw and three defeats from their last five games.
West Brom have made a better start in the Championship 2026/2027 with seven points from their four games, but they come into this with a similar W2, D1, L2 record over the last five. James Morrison has them set up in a very similar way to Eustace with a compact style that focuses on organisation and transitions, so these two sides should be evenly matched.
Rams can squeeze through in a cagey affair
Derby are the narrow favourites at 129/100, but we find West Brom at a big price at 197/100, which is quite surprising given that the visitors have failed to win in two trips to Pride Park.
The Rams can grind out the victory, but both teams have been playing cagey football and we feel a draw at 23/10 looks a lively alternative. This should be a game where both managers keep it tight and the match may stay tight.
Sammie Szmodics is Derby's main goal threat, having registered two goals in three Championship 2026/2027 appearances, while Bobby Clark has been the creative spark with two assists in four. Isaac Price has been West Brom's main threat with two goals in four games, but he also has four of the Baggies' last nine goals across all competitions.
