- Blackburn have won three of the last five Championship head-to-head encounters.
- Blackburn have split their two Championship 2026/2027 home games, scoring and conceding 1.50 goals per game.
- Millwall have conceded 2.50 goals per away game across their two Championship 2026/2027 away matches.
Lions lack firepower to take the points at Ewood Park
16th-placed Blackburn Rovers have accrued five points from their opening five Championship 2026/2027 games so it's not been the best start for Rovers and they could be looking over their shoulders when this season is done. 7th-placed Millwall are already on course for a top-six push with nine points from five matches and they look to have the momentum behind them, but there's a lot of season left to go yet.
The home team have split their opening two Championship 2026/2027 games at Ewood Park, with one win and one loss. A 0-0 draw at Lincoln City and the loss at Deepdale last time out mean Rovers have only one win, one draw and three defeats from their last five matches across all competitions, so they're not coming into this on a roll.
Millwall have taken one win and one defeat from their first two Championship 2026/2027 matches on the road and a 2.50 goals conceded per game is a huge red flag for backers. The Lions have swung from a 3-0 home defeat to Wrexham to a 4-0 home victory over Bolton Wanderers across their last two Championship 2026/2027 outings, so there's a boom-or-bust energy about them that could swing things at any time.
Andri Gudjohnsen can be Rovers’ focal point
Andri Gudjohnsen has scored two goals in five games to lead Rovers' Championship 2026/2027 scoring charts, giving Tony Mowbray's men a focal point up top in what is expected to be a cagey affair on Saturday. Josh Coburn is Millwall's main threat with two goals in four and the Lions' top scorer can also provide the bite in transition.
The head-to-head record and Millwall's leaky away defence make us think that Blackburn can keep this one on the knife-edge at the very least, even if it's going to be a tough slog for Mowbray's side to get the win. The visitors are a slight favourite at 33/25 but our selection is to take Rovers at 48/25 and the draw at 12/5, although the latter looks more likely given Millwall's recent form.
The draw looks like the safest play
Millwall haven't won in their last three Championship away games against Rovers and lost 2-1 at The Den when these sides met five months ago. Alex Neil's men are a pragmatic and direct unit with the ability to clog up the game in defence and strike on the counter-attack.
Mowbray has rebuilt Rovers around possession and a structured build-up from the back, utilising the wide full-backs and employing a more aggressive press when the circumstances suit. This match could come down to a midfield battle of wills where Rovers want to dominate the ball and Millwall want to punish Rovers when they lose it, so we're siding with under 2.5 goals at 83/100.
